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Semiconductor Sector Holds Steady as AI Momentum Persists


TMU Research
2025-10-31

On October 31, 2025, the semiconductor sector closed the month on a stable note, with SOXX finishing at 306.55, up 0.37%. The 10-day trend stood at 0.62%, reflecting cautious optimism amid sustained enthusiasm for artificial intelligence infrastructure. Sector attention held at 5% — a prominent level above the 2% benchmark — while sentiment remained strongly bullish at +5.2 on the -10 to +10 scale. Despite minor day-to-day fluctuations, semiconductor coverage has been dominated by themes of AI expansion, data-center construction, and strategic manufacturing investments.

Attention Trend (Oct 22–31, 2025)

Sentiment Trend (Oct 22–31, 2025)

Stock Performance

Semiconductor equities extended their resilience into month-end trading. Nvidia (NVDA) maintained leadership momentum as its CEO Jensen Huang reiterated confidence in a “virtuous cycle of AI,” where corporate capital expenditures continue to accelerate global chip demand (CNBC). Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) rose 3.4% intraday after a bullish trading signal, and Cloudflare soared 9.3% on strong guidance, underscoring investor conviction that semiconductor demand is feeding broader AI-infrastructure profits.

Data-storage leaders Western Digital and Seagate also surged, gaining more than 10% following upbeat earnings outlooks driven by AI-related data expansion. Their combined 200% year-to-date rally positions them as standout performers among hardware providers (Yahoo Finance).

Industry Trends

The industry narrative remains firmly centered on AI infrastructure. Big Tech’s $380 billion AI investment wave dominated headlines, as Microsoft, Amazon, Google, and Meta all reported record-level data-center spending. This cross-industry commitment continues to anchor semiconductor order books — from GPUs to networking chips — despite investor debates over whether the AI boom could form a bubble (CNBC).

The U.S. economy itself, according to analysts, is “putting all its chips down on AI,” with AI-centric firms now representing an unprecedented share of total market capitalization. This concentration risk raises questions about diversification but also confirms semiconductors as the strategic foundation of the next economic cycle.

Product and Capacity Expansion

TSMC’s $14 billion Japanese facility announcement was among the most pivotal developments of the week. The plant will expand advanced-node capacity to meet global AI chip demand, reinforcing TSMC’s role as the indispensable link in global chip supply (MarketBeat). Meanwhile, Samsung confirmed construction of a manufacturing facility integrating 50,000 Nvidia GPUs to automate production — a major leap toward AI-driven chip fabrication (CNBC).

Other developments include Tokyo Electron delivering a cautious yet constructive forecast, noting that AI demand is cushioning weakness in legacy logic and memory segments. While its profits may dip in the near term, executives pointed to improving yields and a tightening memory market — a potential setup for a renewed memory-chip supercycle later in 2026.

Strategic Investments and Partnerships

The wave of capital commitments continues unabated. Meta Platforms and xAI collectively raised over $60 billion — much of it off-balance-sheet — to fund new data centers, setting a precedent for alternative financing mechanisms in AI infrastructure (Bloomberg). Nvidia extended its influence across Asia with new sovereign-AI collaborations in South Korea and unexpected cultural crossovers — even sparking rallies in non-tech firms through brand association (MarketWatch).

Cloud and data-center operators — Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet — each reaffirmed aggressive capex plans, arguing that the world remains under-supplied in AI-grade compute capacity. Analysts see these strategic investments as both a moat and a risk: they lock in future chip demand but strain near-term profitability and cash flow.

Earnings Outlook and Analyst Opinions

Analysts maintained overwhelmingly bullish outlooks on leading chipmakers. Goldman Sachs raised its Nvidia price target ahead of November earnings, highlighting robust AI-accelerator demand and early signals of software monetization (CNBC). Yet some caution crept in: Apple faced investor frustration over its vague AI strategy, and Nexperia’s supply cut to its Chinese plant reminded markets that geopolitical risk still lurks in the global chip network.

Overall, sentiment toward the semiconductor sector remains constructive. The blend of strong earnings from AI-related firms and disciplined supply management from chip manufacturers supports the bullish stance. With attention steady at elevated levels and emotion readings near 5, investor enthusiasm remains healthy and self-reinforcing — consistent with a sector in the “acceleration” phase of its sentiment cycle.

Conclusion

As October closed, the semiconductor sector demonstrated stability amid relentless AI-driven demand. Despite minor concerns over concentration and supply risks, the industry’s sentiment index of +5.2 reflects broad confidence that the AI infrastructure boom is far from over. The combination of record-high investments, ongoing capacity expansion, and resilient stock performance keeps semiconductors at the core of the global market narrative.



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