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| The performance of international bonds is shaped by various global economic and geopolitical influences, with a significant focus on responses to debt levels and monetary policies from central banks, such as the ECB. Recent interest in markets like Indian government bonds and foreign exchange developments, particularly in the South Korean won and Indonesian rupiah, highlight positive investor sentiment in specific regions. However, overall concerns persist regarding rising global debt, which may dampen confidence in the broader bond market. Discussions around creditor rights and investment trends also illustrate the complexity of the international bond landscape. The price action of International Bonds (BNDX) asset class is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to asset-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.4 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at 0.7 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for BNDX since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.8, and the negative at -0.1 on 2026-07-21. The forces of Option Sentiment (1.5), Asset Sentiment (1.3), and Price Level Sentiment (0.5) will drive up the price. The forces of and Asset Price Trend (-0.4) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Asset Price Trend is calculated based on BNDX trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Asset Sentiment scores are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| BNDX | ||||||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | StdDev | Price Level | RSI | Hourly RSI | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend Sentiment | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Asset Sentiment | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | 1%(0.3%) | 47.83 | 0.52% | 23 | 27 | 34 | 0% | -0.21% | -0.4 | 0 | 0.1% | 0.8 | Long | 55% | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| 2026-07-20 | 1%(0.1%) | 47.83 | 0.5% | 11 | 25 | 7 | -0.2% | 0% | -0.1 | 0 | 0.1% | 0.8 | Long | 55% | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 2026-07-19 | 0%(0.1%) | 0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 8 | |||||||||||
| 2026-07-18 | 0%(0.1%) | 0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 2026-07-17 | 0%(0.1%) | 47.93 | 0.48% | 20 | 28 | 52 | -0.05% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.1% | 0.7 | Long | 55% | 0.6 | 1 |
| 2026-07-16 | 0%(0.1%) | 47.95 | 0.46% | 22 | 29 | 42 | -0.16% | -0.21% | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1% | 0.7 | Long | 55% | 0.7 | 1 |
| 2026-07-15 | 0%(0.1%) | 48.03 | 0.44% | 29 | 31 | 59 | 0.13% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.1% | 0.2 | Long | 55% | -0.7 | -6 |
| 2026-07-14 | 0%(0.1%) | 47.97 | 0.44% | 22 | 35 | 51 | 0.15% | -0.21% | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1% | 0.3 | Long | 55% | -0.4 | -4 |
| 2026-07-13 | 1%(0.1%) | 47.9 | 0.42% | -1 | 36 | 17 | -0.37% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.1% | 0.2 | Long | 55% | -1.7 | -0.3 |
| 2026-07-12 | 0%(0%) | -0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 3 | |||||||||||
| Long is the preferred trading strategy with 55% chance of being right. Improving trend sentiment and positive hourly trend. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | ||||||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | ||||||||||||||||
| Market News | ||
| 1 (-7) Yen Slides Past 163 Mark to Fresh Four-Decade Low Against Dollar The yen slid past 163 per dollar for the first time since 1986, extending its decline and further testing Japanese authorities’ resolve to intervene. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Tue. Jul 21, 2026 | ||
| 2 (-7) Yen Slides Past 163 Mark to Fresh Four-Decade Low Against Dollar (Bloomberg) -- The yen weakened past 163 per dollar for the first time since 1986, raising the risk of intervention by authorities to prop up the currency.Most Read from BloombergApple to Launch ‘Upgrade’ Device Leasing Program With Klarna to Spur SalesTrump Extends Pardons to Companies, Echoing a 17th Century KingChina AI Sensation Moonshot’s Gamble on Big Models Pays OffYemen’s Houthis to Impose Maritime Blockade on Saudi ArabiaSpaceX Set to Unlock $116 Billion in Shares After IPO Restrictions (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Tue. Jul 21, 2026 | ||
| 3 (8) Moody’s Lifts Argentina Credit Rating in Fresh Boost to Milei Moody’s Ratings upgraded Argentina’s credit score, giving the nation its third sovereign upgrade in less than three months and validating President Javier Milei’s economic overhaul plan. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Tue. Jul 21, 2026 | ||
| 4 (-4) Russia Halts Bond Auctions With More Monetary Easing in Question Russia halted auctions of domestic government bonds after a series of failed sales amid speculation the central bank may pause a year-long monetary easing cycle. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Tue. Jul 21, 2026 | ||
| 5 (8) Wall Street Talks Up Carry Trade as Returns Soar Most in Decades One of the most enduring foreign-exchange bets is off to its best run in decades as surprisingly muted volatility across asset classes has investors piling into carry trades. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Tue. Jul 21, 2026 | ||
| 6 (6) Hungary Cuts Rates for Second Month as Inflation Stays Soft Hungary’s central bank lowered borrowing costs for a second straight month as subdued inflation allows policymakers to press ahead with a monetary easing cycle. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Tue. Jul 21, 2026 | ||
| 7 (-5) Short Sellers Ramp Up Bets Against HelloFresh’s Debut Bond Bets against HelloFresh SE’s debut bond, issued only three weeks ago, have surged after its trading got off to a rocky start earlier this month. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Tue. Jul 21, 2026 | ||
| 8 (3) Defaulted China Firm’s Creditors Win Chance to Chase More Assets Investors in a Chinese firm’s defaulted dollar bonds have received court clearance to pursue further claims against other assets of the company, people familiar with the matter said, giving them a rare chance to recover more funds. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Tue. Jul 21, 2026 | ||
| 9 (-7) Gilts Rattled on Andy Burnham’s First Day as Fiscal Fears Return UK government bonds plunged after new Prime Minister Andy Burnham unnerved investors on his first day in the job over his approach to the country’s finances. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Mon. Jul 20, 2026 | ||
| 10 (8) South Africa Wins $1.5 Billion World Bank Infrastructure Loan South Africa secured a $1.5 billion World Bank loan to help modernize the country’s infrastructure and create hundreds of thousands of jobs in the continent’s largest economy. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Mon. Jul 20, 2026 | ||
| 11 (0) Burnham's Choice of Chancellor Could Impact Gilts Anthropic's coding agent incited a market scare and helped usher in the era of vibe coding. Boris Cherny spoke with Tracy Alloway and Joe Weisenthal on this week's episode of Odd Lots about how Claude Code has changed his job. Listen to their full interview wherever you get your podcasts (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Mon. Jul 20, 2026 | ||
| 12 (6) Rupiah Set for Reprieve as Analysts See Central Bank Support The Indonesian rupiah is poised for a period of stability, with analysts expecting the central bank to continue supporting Asia’s worst-performing currency and foreign funds to step up purchases of the nation’s high-yielding bonds. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Mon. Jul 20, 2026 | ||
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