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Costco (COST) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Tue. Dec 23, 2025

The recent expansion of Costco's product range includes the introduction of big-name brands alongside its signature Kirkland products, aimed at attracting a broader customer base. However, the company is facing challenges due to customer dissatisfaction with newly implemented membership perks, which could hinder the perceived value of promotional offerings. The overall strategy highlights an intention to diversify while simultaneously navigating customer feedback.

The price action of Costco (COST) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.1 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at 0.5 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for COST since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.6, and the negative at -0.1 on 2025-12-23. The forces of Sector Price Trend (-0.4), Valuation Sentiment (-0.2), and Stock Price Trend (-0.1) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0.5), Market Risk Appetite (0.6), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (1.1), and Option Sentiment (1.5) will drive up the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

Earning Release: 2026-03-04 10:00, EPS: $18.65, P/E: 45.83

COST
DateAttentionPricePrice
Level
ChangeSMA10
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2025-12-230%(0.3%)      854.79 18    0.61%    -0.38%    -0.1    0.02%    0.3%    0.5    Long    60%    1.1    -1   
2025-12-220%(0.3%)      849.63 9    -0.7%    -0.44%    1.1    -0.05%    0.4%    0.5    Long    75%    0.9    1   
2025-12-212%(0.3%)    0.8    -0.03%    -0.1          0.8    2   
2025-12-200%(0%)    0.8    -0.03%    0          1.1    -1   
2025-12-190%(0%)      855.62 11    -0.23%    -0.45%    0.8    -0.03%    0.5%    0.5    Long    60%    1.8    -1   
2025-12-180%(0.1%)      857.59 8    -0.59%    -0.43%    1    0.02%    0.4%    0.4    Long    60%    1.7    -1   
2025-12-170%(0.3%)      862.65 9    0.26%    -0.68%    1    -0.03%    0.5%    0.6    Long    75%    2    -1   
2025-12-160%(0.3%)      860.39 0    -0.02%    -0.7%    1.5    -0.1%    1.3%    0.7    Long    75%    1.5    -1   
2025-12-150%(0.3%)      860.57 -8    -2.7%    -0.57%    1.6    -0.1%    1.1%    1.1    Long    70%    1.7    -1   
2025-12-140%(0.3%)    -0.1    0%    0.7          2.3    7   
 
Long is the preferred trading strategy with 60% chance of being right. The hourly trend is almost flat and the price has reached close to the lower boundary of Bollinger band.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

2025-12-23 17:02:39 Ongoing interest and purchases of shares indicate a stable stock valuation for Costco.
2025-12-23 17:02:39 The trend of increasing stake by institutional investors suggests a broader positive sentiment in the retail industry.
2025-12-23 17:02:39 The actions of institutional investors show a positive outlook on Costco's leadership and strategy.
2025-12-23 17:02:39 Significant investments from firms like Exchange Traded Concepts LLC signal growing institutional interest in Costco.
2025-12-23 17:02:39 The articles indicate positive movement in Costco's stock performance, reflecting investor interest and confidence.


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