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| The software sector is emerging as a critical component in the economic recovery of 2026, driven by significant investments in AI-driven solutions. Established companies, particularly Microsoft and Oracle, are strategically positioning themselves to capitalize on this trend, while Apple's recent focus on subscription software further amplifies interest in the industry. The competitive landscape is intensifying as companies navigate the integration of AI into their strategies. However, varying sentiments about competition may challenge growth dynamics within the sector. The price action of Software (IGV) sector is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.8 is bullish. The market sentiment at 0.4 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.IGV is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for Software sector is at 0.7, and the negative at -0.3 on 2026-01-13. The forces of Option Sentiment (1.5), Market Risk Appetite (0.9), Sector Price Trend (0.8), Price Level Sentiment (0.5), and Broad Market Trend (0.3) will drive up the price. The forces of Valuation Sentiment (-0.5), and Sentiment towards Fundamentals (-1) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Broad Market Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on IGV trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Prefrence is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| IGV | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | 1%(0.1%) | 103.36 | 12 | -1.87% | -0.38% | 0.8 | -0.1% | 0.8% | 0.4 | Long | 70% | -1 | 2.3 |
| 2026-01-12 | 0%(0%) | 105.33 | 37 | 0.33% | -0.28% | 0.7 | 0% | 0.3% | 0.2 | Long | 60% | -1 | -0.5 |
| 2026-01-11 | 0%(0%) | 1.1 | -0.1% | 0.2 | -1 | -0.5 | |||||||
| 2026-01-10 | 0%(0%) | 1.1 | -0.1% | 0.2 | -1 | 6.5 | |||||||
| 2026-01-09 | 0%(0%) | 104.99 | 31 | 0.5% | -0.28% | 1.1 | -0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4 | Long | 65% | -1 | 2.5 |
| 2026-01-08 | 0%(0%) | 104.46 | 21 | -1.67% | -0.38% | -0.1 | 0.09% | 0.9% | 0.2 | Long | 70% | -1 | 2 |
| 2026-01-07 | 0%(0.1%) | 106.23 | 42 | 1.27% | -0.28% | -0.1 | 0% | 1.1% | 0.1 | Wait | 50% | -1 | -0.5 |
| 2026-01-06 | 0%(0.1%) | 104.9 | 23 | 1.24% | -0.19% | -0.5 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2 | Long | 65% | -1 | 7.5 |
| 2026-01-05 | 0%(0.1%) | 103.62 | 6 | 0.92% | -0.28% | 0.9 | -0.1% | 1.1% | 0.3 | Long | 75% | -1 | -0.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | 0%(0.1%) | -0.5 | -0.13% | -0.3 | -1 | -0.5 | |||||||
| Long is the preferred trading strategy with 70% chance of being right. The rebound is expected after the huge price drop today. The trend sentiment and hourly trend are not too bearish. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Market News | ||
| 1 (2) Software Stocks Are Holding On By A Thread While the market didn't do much today, this sector could go either way. Perhaps Microsoft holds the key to the next move. (https://www.thestreet.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 2 (5) Apple Jumps on the Subscription Software Bandwagon. Why Adobe Stock Is Dropping. Apple is launching a subscription plan for its creative software apps. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 3 (5) Apple Jumps on the Subscription Software Bandwagon. Why Adobe Stock Is Dropping. Apple is launching a subscription plan for its creative software apps. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 4 (5) Apple Jumps on the Subscription Software Bandwagon. Why Adobe Stock Is Dropping. Apple is launching a subscription plan for its creative software apps. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 5 (-7) Adobe Analysts Turn Most Bearish Since 2013 as AI Threat Looms Concern that Adobe Inc. will struggle in the artificial-intelligence era has driven Wall Street analysts’ view on the maker of software for creative professionals to its most pessimistic in more than a dozen years. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 6 (7) Salesforce releases updated Slackbot powered by Anthropic's AI model Slack is upgrading Slackbot, its personal assistant, with generative AI. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 7 () Microsoft, Oracle and ServiceNow could be the top stocks to play a software comeback Analysts believe these high-profile stocks at the intersection of software and infrastructure are in a good spot to monetize the coming wave of AI adoption. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026 | ||
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