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| Recent discussions indicate that small-cap stocks are positioned for potential growth as investors prepare for future market predictions. The Russell 2000 index remains a key focus for those seeking exposure to these equities amidst shifting market dynamics. However, seasonal profit-taking has hindered performance, leading to adjustments in investor positions. Overall, the evaluation of yield and performance remains crucial for understanding prospects in this area. The price action of U.S. Small Cap (IWM) asset class is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to asset-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.5 is modestly bullish. The market sentiment at 0.1 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.IWM is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.4, and the negative at -0.3 on 2025-12-30. The forces of Asset Sentiment (0.6), Asset Price Trend (0.5), and Price Level Sentiment (0.5) will drive up the price. The forces of and Option Sentiment (-1.2) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Asset Price Trend is calculated based on IWM trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Asset Sentiment scores are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| IWM | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Asset Sentiment | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-30 | 0%(0.1%) | 248.03 | 22 | -0.74% | -0.16% | 0.5 | -0.04% | 0.4% | 0.1 | Long | 70% | 0.6 | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | 0%(0.1%) | 249.88 | 40 | -0.6% | -0.16% | -0.2 | -0.04% | 0.4% | 0.1 | Short | 60% | 1.7 | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | 0%(0.1%) | 0.6 | -0.04% | 0.9 | 2.7 | 0 | |||||||
| 2025-12-27 | 0%(0.3%) | 0.6 | -0.04% | 1.1 | 3.7 | 0 | |||||||
| 2025-12-26 | 0%(0.3%) | 251.39 | 54 | -0.52% | -0.28% | 0.6 | -0.04% | 0.3% | 1 | Wait | 50% | 4.5 | 2 |
| 2025-12-25 | 1%(0.3%) | 0.5 | 0% | 1.3 | 4.5 | 7 | |||||||
| 2025-12-24 | 0%(0.1%) | 252.71 | 66 | 0.26% | -0.08% | 0.5 | 0% | 0.3% | 1.4 | Wait | 50% | 6 | 0.5 |
| 2025-12-23 | 0%(0.1%) | 252.06 | 64 | -0.62% | 0.04% | 0.2 | 0% | 0.5% | 1.5 | Wait | 50% | 6.7 | 3.3 |
| 2025-12-22 | 0%(0.1%) | 253.62 | 75 | 1.12% | 0.12% | 0.4 | 0.08% | 0.8% | 1.4 | Wait | 50% | 6.6 | 5.3 |
| 2025-12-21 | 1%(0.1%) | 0.2 | 0.04% | 1.6 | 6 | 6 | |||||||
| Long is the preferred trading strategy with 70% chance of being right. The rebound is expected after the huge price drop today. The trend sentiment and hourly trend are not too bearish. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
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