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| Nvidia is significantly advancing in product and service development, particularly in AI technologies. The rollout of the H200 AI chip and ongoing projects in autonomous driving illustrate a strong position in innovative product offerings. Additionally, collaboration in AI-driven drug discovery enhances its impact on healthcare sectors. However, challenges with customer reception of certain products, like DGX Spark, highlight the complexities in market acceptance. |
| The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.1 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at 0.7 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for NVDA since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.8, and the negative at -0.1 on 2026-01-13. The forces of Valuation Sentiment (-0.5), and Stock Price Trend (-0.1) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0), Option Sentiment (0.5), Market Risk Appetite (0.9), Sector Price Trend (1), and Sentiment towards Fundamentals (2.9) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| NVDA | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | 1%(1.4%) | 185.81 | 57 | 0.5% | -0.11% | -0.1 | 0.05% | 0.4% | 0.7 | Wait | 50% | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| 2026-01-12 | 1%(1.9%) | 184.89 | 54 | 0.04% | -0.32% | 0.3 | 0.05% | 0.4% | 0.9 | Long | 65% | 3.5 | 4.6 |
| 2026-01-11 | 1%(2%) | 0.1 | -0.16% | 0.8 | 3.4 | 5.7 | |||||||
| 2026-01-10 | 3%(2%) | 0.1 | -0.16% | 0.8 | 3.4 | 4.3 | |||||||
| 2026-01-09 | 1%(1.9%) | 184.83 | 55 | -0.09% | -0.21% | 0.1 | -0.16% | 1% | 0.8 | Short | 65% | 3.5 | 4.2 |
| 2026-01-08 | 2%(2%) | 185 | 56 | -2.21% | -0.21% | -0.3 | -0.16% | 1.1% | 0.8 | Short | 65% | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| 2026-01-07 | 1%(1.7%) | 189.18 | 74 | 1.01% | 0.32% | 0.4 | 0.05% | 0.7% | 0.9 | Long | 65% | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| 2026-01-06 | 4%(2%) | 187.28 | 67 | -0.45% | 0.32% | -0.4 | -0.05% | 0.7% | 0.9 | Short | 60% | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| 2026-01-05 | 2%(1.7%) | 188.12 | 72 | -0.39% | 0.75% | 0.9 | -0.05% | 0.7% | 0.9 | Wait | 50% | 3.2 | 6.4 |
| 2026-01-04 | 1%(1.9%) | 1.3 | 0.33% | 0.8 | 3.1 | 6 | |||||||
| Wait is the preferred trading strategy with 50% chance of being right. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● NVDA: A Bottom Taking Shape — Why a Near-Term Long Is Back on the Table Mon. Sep 8, 2025 | ||
| Market News | ||
| 1 (8) Prediction: This 1 Thing Will Make Nvidia the Biggest Winner of the AI Race. (Hint: It's Not the GPU.) Jensen Huang, speaking at CES, said something that supports the idea of ongoing leadership. (https://www.fool.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 2 (7) AI Chip Startup Etched Raises $500 Million to Take on Nvidia AI chip startup Etched raised about $500 million in a new funding round, according to people familiar with the matter, part of an effort to compete with Nvidia Corp. in the booming market for artificial intelligence processors. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 3 (5) US greenlights Nvidia H200 chip exports to China The Trump administration on Tuesday gave the greenlight to exports to China of Nvidia's second most powerful AI chips, putting in place a rule that will likely kickstart shipments of the H200, the federal register showed. According to the regulations, the chips will be reviewed by a third party testing lab to confirm their technical AI capabilities before they can be shipped to China. Nvidia will need to certify there are enough H200s in the U.S. and Chinese customers must demonstrate "sufficient security procedures." (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 4 (6) Nvidia’s stock was just named a top pick for a reason that might be surprising The chip giant’s stock has actually been an AI laggard lately, creating opportunity for investors. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 5 (-4) China limits Nvidia chip purchases to special circumstances, Information reports The Chinese government this week told some tech companies it would only approve their purchases of Nvidia's H200 AI chips under special circumstances, such as for university research, the Information reported on Tuesday, citing two people with direct knowledge of the situation. The move signals Beijing is remaining cautious about fully reopening the Chinese market to Nvidia, whose semiconductors are pivotal in operating the most advanced artificial intelligence applications and data centers. China's government issued a "deliberately vague" directive, the report said, telling some technology firms to buy chips only when "necessary" but was unclear as to what that means. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 6 (-3) 'Big Short' investor Michael Burry explains why he's betting against Nvidia, not Meta or Microsoft Michael Burry of "The Big Short" fame said Nvidia is "simply the purest play" for an investor to bet against the AI boom. (https://www.businessinsider.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 7 (6) 'Boring' investment ideas for 2026, and why Nvidia is one of them 2026 is finally here and investors are trading in it, so how should Wall Street be spicing things up for portfolios this year? Lossdog Founder and CEO Tom Sosnoff shares his outlook on what he is dubbing as the most boring ideas for 2026, one of which is AI chipmaking titan Nvidia (NVDA). Sosnoff is also the founder and former CEO of tastytrade. To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Opening Bid. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 8 (2) Nvidia Is Stuck in ‘Uncertainty’ Over China Sales. This Analyst Still Expects Gains. Nvidia could sell up to two million chips to China this year but questions remain over when licenses will be approved. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 9 (5) Nvidia says no upfront payment needed for its H200 chips Nvidia does not require upfront payment for H200 chips, a spokesperson for the U.S. chipmaker said in a statement to Reuters on Tuesday. The company said it "would never require customers to pay for products they do not receive", in a response to a Reuters story on January 8 about the company having imposed unusually stringent terms requiring full upfront payment from Chinese customers seeking its artificial intelligence chips. One source told Reuters that Nvidia's standard terms for Chinese clients have previously included advance payment requirements, but they were sometimes allowed to place a deposit rather than make a full payment upfront. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 10 (8) Nvidia to Invest $1 Billion in AI Drug Laboratory With Eli Lilly Nvidia Corp. plans to invest $1 billion over five years in a new laboratory with Eli Lilly & Co., aiming to speed up the use of artificial intelligence in the pharmaceutical industry. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026 | ||
| 11 (8) Nvidia to Invest $1 Billion in AI Drug Laboratory With Eli Lilly Nvidia Corp. plans to invest $1 billion over five years in a new laboratory with Eli Lilly & Co., aiming to speed up the use of artificial intelligence in the pharmaceutical industry. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026 | ||
| 12 (8) Nvidia, Eli Lilly to spend $1 billion over five years on joint research lab SAN FRANCISCO, Jan 12 () - Nvidia and U. pharma giant Eli Lilly will spend $1 billion building a new joint research lab in the San Francisco Bay area over five years which will use Nvidia's newest generation Vera Rubin AI chips, the firms said on Monday. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026 | ||
| 13 (-2) Nvidia Stock Drifts Lower. China AI Chips and 1 Other Thing Can Reignite It. Nvidia stock is down 1.8% over the past month. Its sales of AI chips to China are in focus. (https://www.barrons.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026 | ||
| 14 (-2) Nvidia Stock Drifts Lower. China AI Chips and 1 Other Thing Can Reignite It. Nvidia stock is down 1.8% over the past month. Its sales of AI chips to China are in focus. (https://www.barrons.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026 | ||
| 15 (9) Nvidia Billionaire Coxe Gifts $100 Million to UT Medical Center Billionaire Nvidia Corp. board member Tench Coxe and his wife Simone are donating $100 million to help launch a medical center at the University of Texas at Austin, one of the largest gifts in school history. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026 | ||
| 16 (8) Nvidia and Palantir Stocks: Wall Street Says to Buy 1 and Avoid the Other for 2026 Nvidia and Palantir have delivered massive returns over the past few years for investors. (https://www.fool.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026 | ||
| 17 (8) A Once-in-a-Decade Investment Opportunity: The Best Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock to Buy in 2026 Nvidia has been the star of the artificial intelligence show for three years, and its stellar performance doesn't appear to be coming to an end. (https://www.fool.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026 | ||