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| Nvidia is at the forefront of product and service development, particularly in AI and autonomous technologies. The potential approval of its H200 AI chips in China, coupled with ongoing advancements in AI platforms and autonomous driving, positions the company strongly for future growth. Furthermore, initiatives in fusion power and partnerships in AI for drug discovery showcase its innovative capabilities. However, internal conflicts regarding product launches highlight challenges in customer reception that the company must address. |
| The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.1 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at 0.9 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for NVDA since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.9, and the negative at -0 on 2026-01-14. The forces of Stock Price Trend (-0.1), and Valuation Sentiment (-0.1) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0), Option Sentiment (0.5), Sector Price Trend (0.9), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (2.3), and Market Risk Appetite (2.4) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| NVDA | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 | 1%(1.4%) | 183.14 | 42 | -1.44% | -0.21% | -0.1 | -0.11% | 0.9% | 0.9 | Short | 65% | 2.3 | -0.6 |
| 2026-01-13 | 1%(1.4%) | 185.81 | 57 | 0.5% | -0.11% | -0.1 | 0.05% | 0.4% | 0.7 | Wait | 50% | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| 2026-01-12 | 1%(1.9%) | 184.89 | 54 | 0.04% | -0.32% | 0.3 | 0.05% | 0.4% | 0.9 | Long | 65% | 3.5 | 4.6 |
| 2026-01-11 | 1%(2%) | 0.1 | -0.16% | 0.8 | 3.4 | 5.7 | |||||||
| 2026-01-10 | 3%(2%) | 0.1 | -0.16% | 0.8 | 3.4 | 4.3 | |||||||
| 2026-01-09 | 1%(1.9%) | 184.83 | 55 | -0.09% | -0.21% | 0.1 | -0.16% | 1% | 0.8 | Short | 65% | 3.5 | 4.2 |
| 2026-01-08 | 2%(2%) | 185 | 56 | -2.21% | -0.21% | -0.3 | -0.16% | 1.1% | 0.8 | Short | 65% | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| 2026-01-07 | 1%(1.7%) | 189.18 | 74 | 1.01% | 0.32% | 0.4 | 0.05% | 0.7% | 0.9 | Long | 65% | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| 2026-01-06 | 4%(2%) | 187.28 | 67 | -0.45% | 0.32% | -0.4 | -0.05% | 0.7% | 0.9 | Short | 60% | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| 2026-01-05 | 2%(1.7%) | 188.12 | 72 | -0.39% | 0.75% | 0.9 | -0.05% | 0.7% | 0.9 | Long | 65% | 3.2 | 6.4 |
| Short is the preferred trading strategy with 65% chance of being right. Weak trend sentiment and negative hourly trend. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● NVDA: A Bottom Taking Shape — Why a Near-Term Long Is Back on the Table Mon. Sep 8, 2025 | ||
| Market News | ||
| 1 (-3) Trump Puts 25% Tariffs on Chips. It Only Matters to Nvidia and AMD—for Now. President Donald Trump on Wednesday signed two executive orders to impose tariffs on some semiconductors and prepare for tariffs on critical minerals, if needed. (https://www.barrons.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 2 (-3) Trump Puts 25% Tariffs on Chips. It Only Matters to Nvidia and AMD—for Now. President Donald Trump on Wednesday signed two executive orders to impose tariffs on some semiconductors and prepare for tariffs on critical minerals, if needed. (https://www.barrons.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 3 (2) U.S. sets 25% tariff on some chip sales as part of Nvidia deal The U.S. imposed a 25% tariff on imports of certain semiconductors, a key step allowing Nvidia Corp. to ship processors to China. Read on (https://financialpost.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 4 (5) What's wrong with Nvidia? Why shares of the AI juggernaut are struggling and whether it can break out of its funk Wall Street isn't shying away from Nvidia despite its dull performance in recent months. Instead, its current valuation is making the chipmaker a hot pick. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 5 (-2) Trump administration clears way for Nvidia H200 chip sales to China with a 25% surcharge The H200's performance has been exceeded by two generations of Nvidia chips currently in production, the Blackwell and Rubin. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 6 (-5) Nvidia Stock Drops: What's Behind The Slide? Nvidia shares are trading lower on Wednesday. The stock may be declining following reports Nvidia's H200 chips are being restricted in China. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 7 (-5) Nvidia & Broadcom stocks dragged by China's tech bans: Reports Yahoo Finance anchor Josh Lipton tracks Wednesday's top moving stocks and biggest market stories in this Market Minute. Nvidia (NVDA) stock is under pressure after Reuters reported that China is not allowing the sale of its H200 chips. There are also reports that China is banning Chinese companies from using US cybersecurity software, sending Broadcom (AVGO) stock lower. Meanwhile, AppLovin (APP) is the worst performer in the S&P 500 (^GSPC) so far in Wednesday's trading session. Stay up to date on the latest market action, minute-by-minute, with Yahoo Finance's Market Minute. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 8 (5) Why Nvidia Stock Could Jump During the Period From Jan. 15 to Feb. 4 A series of events may shed light on Nvidia's future. (https://www.fool.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 9 (8) NVIDIA's Next Chip Isn't Just Faster -- It Could Make AI 10 Times Cheaper to Run The Rubin platform can significantly reduce token costs, opening up new use cases for AI. (https://www.fool.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 10 (-7) Nvidia stock falls as China reportedly restricts imports of H200 chips Chinese authorities have instructed customs agents to ban the entrance of Nvidia's H200 AI chips into the country, according to Reuters. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 11 (5) Nvidia Just Got the Final China Chip Rules From U.S. Now It Waits on Beijing. Nvidia stock was reacting to news the Trump administration had finalized the requirements for the chip maker to sell its H200 chips in China. (https://www.barrons.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 12 (5) Nvidia Just Got the Final China Chip Rules From U.S. Now It Waits on Beijing. Nvidia stock was reacting to news the Trump administration had finalized the requirements for the chip maker to sell its H200 chips in China. (https://www.barrons.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 13 (8) Prediction: This 1 Thing Will Make Nvidia the Biggest Winner of the AI Race. (Hint: It's Not the GPU.) Jensen Huang, speaking at CES, said something that supports the idea of ongoing leadership. (https://www.fool.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 14 (7) AI Chip Startup Etched Raises $500 Million to Take on Nvidia AI chip startup Etched raised about $500 million in a new funding round, according to people familiar with the matter, part of an effort to compete with Nvidia Corp. in the booming market for artificial intelligence processors. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 15 (5) US greenlights Nvidia H200 chip exports to China The Trump administration on Tuesday gave the greenlight to exports to China of Nvidia's second most powerful AI chips, putting in place a rule that will likely kickstart shipments of the H200, the federal register showed. According to the regulations, the chips will be reviewed by a third party testing lab to confirm their technical AI capabilities before they can be shipped to China. Nvidia will need to certify there are enough H200s in the U.S. and Chinese customers must demonstrate "sufficient security procedures." (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 16 (6) Nvidia’s stock was just named a top pick for a reason that might be surprising The chip giant’s stock has actually been an AI laggard lately, creating opportunity for investors. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 17 (-4) China limits Nvidia chip purchases to special circumstances, Information reports The Chinese government this week told some tech companies it would only approve their purchases of Nvidia's H200 AI chips under special circumstances, such as for university research, the Information reported on Tuesday, citing two people with direct knowledge of the situation. The move signals Beijing is remaining cautious about fully reopening the Chinese market to Nvidia, whose semiconductors are pivotal in operating the most advanced artificial intelligence applications and data centers. China's government issued a "deliberately vague" directive, the report said, telling some technology firms to buy chips only when "necessary" but was unclear as to what that means. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 18 (-3) 'Big Short' investor Michael Burry explains why he's betting against Nvidia, not Meta or Microsoft Michael Burry of "The Big Short" fame said Nvidia is "simply the purest play" for an investor to bet against the AI boom. (https://www.businessinsider.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 19 (6) 'Boring' investment ideas for 2026, and why Nvidia is one of them 2026 is finally here and investors are trading in it, so how should Wall Street be spicing things up for portfolios this year? Lossdog Founder and CEO Tom Sosnoff shares his outlook on what he is dubbing as the most boring ideas for 2026, one of which is AI chipmaking titan Nvidia (NVDA). Sosnoff is also the founder and former CEO of tastytrade. To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Opening Bid. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 20 (2) Nvidia Is Stuck in ‘Uncertainty’ Over China Sales. This Analyst Still Expects Gains. Nvidia could sell up to two million chips to China this year but questions remain over when licenses will be approved. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 21 (5) Nvidia says no upfront payment needed for its H200 chips Nvidia does not require upfront payment for H200 chips, a spokesperson for the U.S. chipmaker said in a statement to Reuters on Tuesday. The company said it "would never require customers to pay for products they do not receive", in a response to a Reuters story on January 8 about the company having imposed unusually stringent terms requiring full upfront payment from Chinese customers seeking its artificial intelligence chips. One source told Reuters that Nvidia's standard terms for Chinese clients have previously included advance payment requirements, but they were sometimes allowed to place a deposit rather than make a full payment upfront. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||