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Sector: Consumer Discretionary
| Starbucks is experiencing notable growth through the opening of new stores, particularly in challenging retail environments. The company is also pursuing innovative growth initiatives, especially in food offerings and expansion into the Chinese market, which could drive future success. However, the effectiveness of these innovation efforts remains to be seen, which introduces a level of uncertainty. Consequently, while there are promising avenues for expansion, the risks associated with unproven strategies may pose challenges. |
| The price action of Starbucks (SBUX) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.9 is bullish. The market sentiment at -0.1 is modestly bearish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. There is no clear direction for SBUX since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.6, and the negative at -0.7 on 2026-05-14. The forces of Option Sentiment (1.5), Market Risk Appetite (0.9), and Stock Price Trend (0.9) will drive up the price. The forces of Sector Price Trend (-0.2), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (-0.4), Price Level Sentiment (-0.5), and Valuation Sentiment (-3.2) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
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| SBUX | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | StdDev | Price Level | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend Sentiment | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | 0%(0%) | 106.4 | 3.25% | 76 | 0.43% | 0.09% | 0.9 | -0.3 | 0.6% | -0.2 | Wait | 50% | -0.4 | 6 |
| 2026-05-13 | 0%(0%) | 105.94 | 3.29% | 75 | -0.6% | 0% | 0.3 | -0.5 | 0.6% | -0.9 | Short | 55% | -2.4 | -1 |
| 2026-05-12 | 0%(0%) | 106.58 | 3.28% | 83 | 0.79% | 0.96% | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.7% | -0.4 | Long | 65% | -3.2 | -1 |
| 2026-05-11 | 0%(0%) | 105.74 | 3.23% | 80 | 0.77% | 0.77% | 1.4 | -0.1 | 0.8% | -0.2 | Wait | 50% | -2.5 | -1 |
| 2026-05-10 | 0%(0%) | 0.8 | -0.1 | -0.9 | -3.3 | -1 | ||||||||
| 2026-05-09 | 0%(0%) | 0.8 | -0.1 | -0.9 | -3.3 | -1 | ||||||||
| 2026-05-08 | 0%(0%) | 104.93 | 3.24% | 77 | 0.64% | 0.58% | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.9% | -0.4 | Long | 55% | -2 | -1 |
| 2026-05-07 | 0%(0%) | 104.26 | 3.29% | 75 | -2.05% | 0.49% | 0.7 | -0.5 | 1% | -0 | Wait | 50% | -1.5 | -1 |
| 2026-05-06 | 0%(0%) | 106.44 | 3.22% | 94 | 1.43% | 0.59% | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.8% | 0.5 | Long | 55% | -0.6 | -7 |
| 2026-05-05 | 0%(0%) | 104.94 | 3.06% | 88 | -0.03% | 0.79% | 2.8 | 0.1 | 0.4% | 1 | Long | 65% | 2.2 | -1 |
| Wait is the preferred trading strategy with 50% chance of being right. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | ||||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | ||||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) — Equity Research Report Tue. Mar 3, 2026 | ||
| 2026-05-14 17:08:25 Discussion around Starbucks' potential for sales growth highlights industry trends that suggest a favorable market environment for the coffee chain. |
| 2026-05-14 17:08:25 Changes implemented by company leadership aimed at driving performance improvements and sales growth are a focal point in articles discussing Starbucks’ future prospects. |
| 2026-05-14 17:08:25 Analysts are optimistic about Starbucks' stock performance, contributing to a bullish sentiment regarding the company's future. |
| 2026-05-14 17:08:25 Starbucks is experiencing a recovery in margins, with discussions around cost savings and increased earnings reflecting positive outlooks on company profit. |
| 2026-05-14 17:08:25 Allegations against Starbucks regarding a campaign to suppress unionization efforts highlight significant legal challenges the company faces. |
| 2026-05-14 15:48:29 TD Cowen's optimistic perspective on Starbucks reflects a positive analyst outlook on the potential for successful execution. |
| 2026-05-14 15:48:29 The article notes that there are skeptics regarding Starbucks' stock performance, indicating concerns over the company's execution moving forward. |
| 2026-05-14 15:48:29 The article discusses how Starbucks is focusing on a turnaround strategy, highlighting optimism from analysts about the company's future leadership. |
| 2026-05-14 11:50:28 The rise in Starbucks shares reflecting a positive trajectory in market confidence. |
| 2026-05-14 11:50:28 The company's efforts to improve performance, indicated by traffic gains and a shift in market perception. |
| 2026-05-14 11:50:28 The positive impact of analyst upgrades on stock performance and investor sentiment. |
| 2026-05-14 09:35:36 TD Cowen expresses confidence in Starbucks' updated strategy, suggesting that it will lead to further price increases. |
| 2026-05-14 09:35:36 Analysts project that Starbucks' stock will continue to rise due to strategic shifts within the company. |