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| The semiconductor sector is experiencing significant growth, driven largely by advancements in AI technology and increasing investments in data centers. Key players, like Nvidia, are making impactful acquisitions and forming licensing deals, further enhancing their market presence. Despite facing challenges such as trade tariffs, the overall sentiment remains positive due to high demand for AI chips and strong revenue growth from major companies. The sector's performance is vital to the broader technology landscape, underpinning innovations across various industries. The price action of Semiconductors (SOXX) sector is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.3 is modestly bullish. The market sentiment at 0.8 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.SOXX is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for Semiconductors sector is at 1.2, and the negative at -0.4 on 2025-12-26. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (3.3), Valuation Sentiment (2.7), Broad Market Trend (0.6), Sector Price Trend (0.3), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of Market Risk Appetite (-0.6), and Option Sentiment (-1.5) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Broad Market Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on SOXX trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Prefrence is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| SOXX | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-26 | 4%(4.1%) | 306.08 | 58 | -0.02% | -0.27% | 0.3 | 0.03% | 0.2% | 0.8 | Wait | 50% | 3.3 | 3.8 |
| 2025-12-25 | 3%(4.1%) | 0.6 | 0.03% | 1.5 | 3.2 | 4 | |||||||
| 2025-12-24 | 6%(4.6%) | 306.14 | 60 | 0.39% | -0.33% | 0.6 | 0.03% | 0.3% | 1.4 | Long | 65% | 3.4 | 3.7 |
| 2025-12-23 | 2%(5.1%) | 304.96 | 59 | 0.37% | -0.27% | 0.3 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9 | Long | 65% | 3 | 3.4 |
| 2025-12-22 | 5%(5.4%) | 303.84 | 58 | 1.34% | -0.26% | 0.3 | 0.2% | 1.3% | 0.8 | Long | 65% | 3.1 | 5.6 |
| 2025-12-21 | 3%(5%) | -0.1 | 0.2% | 0.7 | 2.7 | 2.2 | |||||||
| 2025-12-20 | 6%(4.7%) | -0.1 | 0.2% | 0.8 | 2.9 | 4 | |||||||
| 2025-12-19 | 4%(4.3%) | 299.81 | 52 | 2.66% | -0.33% | -0.1 | 0.2% | 1.8% | 0.4 | Long | 65% | 2.8 | 3.5 |
| 2025-12-18 | 6%(5.1%) | 292.04 | 40 | 2.39% | -0.46% | -0.9 | -0.03% | 1.4% | 0 | Short | 65% | 2.7 | 5.7 |
| 2025-12-17 | 10%(5.1%) | 285.23 | 29 | -3.7% | -0.78% | -1 | -0.27% | 1.8% | 0 | Short | 65% | 2.5 | 3.2 |
| Wait is the preferred trading strategy with 50% chance of being right. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● Semiconductors Stall as AI Euphoria Surges: Calm Before the Next Breakout? Fri. Dec 26, 2025 | ||
| ● AI Data Center Buildout: The Life Cycle, Typical Timelines, and Who Outperforms Next Sun. Dec 21, 2025 | ||
| ● Semiconductors on 2025-12-17: Bullish Headlines, Bearish Tape — Who’s Telling the Truth? Wed. Dec 17, 2025 | ||
| ● Blowout Earnings or Market Fatigue? Why Semiconductor Profits Look Strong While SOXX Slips Tue. Dec 16, 2025 | ||
| ● Valuation Check: Where the Semiconductor Boom Meets Reality Sun. Dec 14, 2025 | ||
| 2025-12-26 13:48:23 Nvidia's key licensing deals indicate strong growth and investment in the semiconductor industry. |
| 2025-12-26 11:47:45 The chip sector is highly represented due to multiple articles discussing Nvidia and its deals, indicating strong interest in the tech industry. |
| 2025-12-26 09:34:31 Multiple articles highlight semiconductor companies and their relevance in the tech and AI industry. |
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