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| The semiconductor sector is experiencing significant growth driven by increased demand for AI technologies and investments in data centers. Major companies like Nvidia and AMD are consistently at the forefront of advancements, particularly in AI chip production. Despite strong performance in related tech sectors, challenges such as national security concerns and associated regulations may pose potential risks to growth. Overall, the industry is poised for considerable developments, making it a focal point of economic interest. The price action of Semiconductors (SOXX) sector is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 1.4 is very bullish. The market sentiment at 1.3 is very bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.SOXX is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for Semiconductors sector is at 1.3, and the negative at -0.1 on 2026-01-04. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (3.5), Valuation Sentiment (2.6), Sector Price Trend (1.4), Market Risk Appetite (0.4), Option Sentiment (0), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of and Broad Market Trend (-0.3) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Broad Market Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on SOXX trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Prefrence is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| SOXX | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 8%(5.7%) | 1.4 | 0.35% | 1.3 | 3.5 | 3.6 | |||||||
| 2026-01-03 | 1%(5%) | 1.4 | 0.13% | 1.2 | 3.4 | 0.5 | |||||||
| 2026-01-02 | 11%(6.1%) | 313.89 | 81 | 4.23% | 0.93% | 1.4 | 0.13% | 1.5% | 1 | Long | 75% | 3.5 | 5.6 |
| 2026-01-01 | 4%(5.1%) | -0.1 | -0.07% | 1.2 | 3.4 | 4.1 | |||||||
| 2025-12-31 | 4%(5%) | 301.15 | 40 | -1.24% | 0.17% | -0.1 | -0.07% | 0.5% | 1 | Wait | 50% | 3.4 | 4.9 |
| 2025-12-30 | 5%(5.3%) | 304.93 | 52 | -0.13% | 0.23% | 0.3 | -0.03% | 0.4% | 0.9 | Wait | 50% | 3.2 | 5.8 |
| 2025-12-29 | 7%(4.9%) | 305.32 | 55 | -0.25% | 0.2% | 0.4 | 0% | 0.4% | 1.1 | Wait | 50% | 3.2 | 4.8 |
| 2025-12-28 | 3%(4.6%) | 0.3 | 0.03% | 1.2 | 3.6 | 6.1 | |||||||
| 2025-12-27 | 9%(4.6%) | 0.3 | 0.03% | 1.1 | 3.4 | 4.9 | |||||||
| 2025-12-26 | 4%(4.1%) | 306.08 | 58 | -0.02% | -0.27% | 0.3 | 0.03% | 0.2% | 0.8 | Long | 65% | 3.3 | 3.8 |
| Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● Semiconductors Stall as AI Euphoria Surges: Calm Before the Next Breakout? Fri. Dec 26, 2025 | ||
| ● AI Data Center Buildout: The Life Cycle, Typical Timelines, and Who Outperforms Next Sun. Dec 21, 2025 | ||
| ● Semiconductors on 2025-12-17: Bullish Headlines, Bearish Tape — Who’s Telling the Truth? Wed. Dec 17, 2025 | ||
| ● Blowout Earnings or Market Fatigue? Why Semiconductor Profits Look Strong While SOXX Slips Tue. Dec 16, 2025 | ||
| ● Valuation Check: Where the Semiconductor Boom Meets Reality Sun. Dec 14, 2025 | ||
| 2026-01-04 22:46:40 The semiconductor sector is heavily represented due to Nvidia's announcements and TSMC's capacity issues. |
| 2026-01-04 17:46:36 Strong representation due to AI demand in industry. |
| 2026-01-04 13:46:51 Technology is a broad sector encompassing the companies mentioned in relation to AI and growth opportunities. |
| 2026-01-04 13:46:51 AI is a prominent theme in the articles, highlighting its impact on productivity and investment. |
| 2026-01-04 13:46:51 The semiconductor sector is heavily represented due to multiple articles focusing on AI and tech investment opportunities. |
| 2026-01-04 11:47:05 Several articles focus on AI developments and the memory chip market impacting technology companies. |
| 2026-01-04 09:32:27 Strong representation with multiple articles discussing AI and tech stocks. |
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