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| The sector has seen significant momentum driven by rising demand for AI-related chips and technology, particularly from prominent companies like Nvidia and AMD. Strong investments and advancements in artificial intelligence contribute to robust growth prospects, reflecting ongoing developments in the semiconductor industry. However, concerns about national security and asset divestment are noteworthy challenges that disrupt market confidence. Despite these issues, the overall sentiment remains bullish due to the increasing focus on innovation and technology within the sector. The price action of Semiconductors (SOXX) sector is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 1.4 is very bullish. The market sentiment at 1.1 is very bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.SOXX is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for Semiconductors sector is at 1.5, and the negative at -0.5 on 2026-01-05. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (3.8), Valuation Sentiment (2.9), Sector Price Trend (1.4), and Market Risk Appetite (0.9) will drive up the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (-0.5), Broad Market Trend (-0.7), and Option Sentiment (-1.5) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Broad Market Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on SOXX trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Prefrence is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| SOXX | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | 6%(5.6%) | 318.06 | 90 | 1.33% | 0.86% | 1.4 | 0.22% | 2% | 1.1 | Long | 65% | 3.8 | 6.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | 8%(5.7%) | 1.4 | 0.35% | 1.3 | 3.5 | 3.6 | |||||||
| 2026-01-03 | 1%(5%) | 1.4 | 0.13% | 1.2 | 3.4 | 0.5 | |||||||
| 2026-01-02 | 11%(6.1%) | 313.89 | 81 | 4.23% | 0.93% | 1.4 | 0.13% | 1.5% | 1 | Long | 75% | 3.5 | 5.6 |
| 2026-01-01 | 4%(5.1%) | -0.1 | -0.07% | 1.2 | 3.4 | 4.1 | |||||||
| 2025-12-31 | 4%(5%) | 301.15 | 40 | -1.24% | 0.17% | -0.1 | -0.07% | 0.5% | 1 | Wait | 50% | 3.4 | 4.9 |
| 2025-12-30 | 5%(5.3%) | 304.93 | 52 | -0.13% | 0.23% | 0.3 | -0.03% | 0.4% | 0.9 | Wait | 50% | 3.2 | 5.8 |
| 2025-12-29 | 7%(4.9%) | 305.32 | 55 | -0.25% | 0.2% | 0.4 | 0% | 0.4% | 1.1 | Wait | 50% | 3.2 | 4.8 |
| 2025-12-28 | 3%(4.6%) | 0.3 | 0.03% | 1.2 | 3.6 | 6.1 | |||||||
| 2025-12-27 | 9%(4.6%) | 0.3 | 0.03% | 1.1 | 3.4 | 4.9 | |||||||
| Long is the preferred trading strategy with 65% chance of being right. Both trend sentiment and hourly trend are strong. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● AI Euphoria Meets Reality: Semiconductors Rally as Headlines Surge on CES Breakthroughs Mon. Jan 5, 2026 | ||
| ● Semiconductors Stall as AI Euphoria Surges: Calm Before the Next Breakout? Fri. Dec 26, 2025 | ||
| ● AI Data Center Buildout: The Life Cycle, Typical Timelines, and Who Outperforms Next Sun. Dec 21, 2025 | ||
| ● Semiconductors on 2025-12-17: Bullish Headlines, Bearish Tape — Who’s Telling the Truth? Wed. Dec 17, 2025 | ||
| ● Blowout Earnings or Market Fatigue? Why Semiconductor Profits Look Strong While SOXX Slips Tue. Dec 16, 2025 | ||
| 2026-01-05 22:47:43 Multiple articles highlight Nvidia's advancements in AI and robotics, showcasing strong representation in the tech sector. |
| 2026-01-05 17:49:09 Multiple articles discuss notable activities and performances of semiconductor companies. |
| 2026-01-05 15:48:14 Multiple articles reflect the increasing focus on semiconductor stocks and AI technology within the tech sector. |
| 2026-01-05 13:48:51 Strong representation with multiple articles focused on chip stocks and companies. |
| 2026-01-05 11:49:06 Growing demand for memory chips due to AI infrastructure drives semiconductor stock performance. |
| 2026-01-05 09:34:11 AI demand and significant stock movements reflect robust semiconductor industry activity. |
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