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| The semiconductor industry is currently experiencing significant growth driven by strong demand for AI technologies and related chip innovations. Key players like Intel, Nvidia, and TSMC are at the forefront, with their stock performances being closely monitored due to their critical roles in advancing technology. However, the sector is also facing challenges, including warnings about rising memory costs that could strain the consumer electronics market. Overall, the outlook remains optimistic as investments in AI and related tech fuel expansion. The price action of Semiconductors (SOXX) sector is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 1 is bullish. The market sentiment at 1.1 is very bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.SOXX is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for Semiconductors sector is at 1.4, and the negative at -0.3 on 2026-01-13. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (3.2), Valuation Sentiment (3.2), Sector Price Trend (1), Market Risk Appetite (0.9), and Broad Market Trend (0.3) will drive up the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (-0.5), and Option Sentiment (-1.5) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Broad Market Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on SOXX trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Prefrence is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| SOXX | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | 7%(4.7%) | 333.3 | 93 | 0.89% | 0.88% | 1 | 0.06% | 0.6% | 1.1 | Wait | 50% | 3.2 | 5.1 |
| 2026-01-12 | 3%(5.3%) | 330.35 | 94 | 0.48% | 0.76% | 1.5 | 0.18% | 1.3% | 1 | Long | 60% | 3.4 | 4.8 |
| 2026-01-11 | 3%(5.7%) | 0.9 | 0.06% | 1.6 | 3.6 | 6.4 | |||||||
| 2026-01-10 | 3%(6.4%) | 0.9 | 0.06% | 1.6 | 3.7 | 4.8 | |||||||
| 2026-01-09 | 5%(6.1%) | 328.78 | 96 | 2.88% | 0.74% | 0.9 | 0.06% | 1.3% | 1.3 | Wait | 50% | 3.8 | 5.5 |
| 2026-01-08 | 6%(7%) | 319.58 | 79 | -1.63% | 0.45% | 1.2 | -0.09% | 1.1% | 1.2 | Wait | 50% | 3.9 | 3.5 |
| 2026-01-07 | 6%(6.7%) | 324.89 | 94 | -1.07% | 0.68% | 1.4 | 0.09% | 1% | 1.3 | Short | 65% | 4.1 | 5.6 |
| 2026-01-06 | 11%(6.4%) | 328.39 | 108 | 3.25% | 0.95% | 2.2 | 0.28% | 1.6% | 1.5 | Long | 60% | 4.2 | 4.9 |
| 2026-01-05 | 6%(5.6%) | 318.06 | 90 | 1.33% | 0.86% | 1.4 | 0.22% | 2% | 1.1 | Long | 65% | 3.8 | 6.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | 8%(5.7%) | 1.4 | 0.35% | 1.3 | 3.5 | 3.6 | |||||||
| Wait is the preferred trading strategy with 50% chance of being right. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● Semiconductors Surge as AI Optimism Peaks — But Are Valuations Running Ahead of Reality? Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| ● AI Euphoria Meets Reality: Semiconductors Rally as Headlines Surge on CES Breakthroughs Mon. Jan 5, 2026 | ||
| ● Semiconductors Stall as AI Euphoria Surges: Calm Before the Next Breakout? Fri. Dec 26, 2025 | ||
| ● AI Data Center Buildout: The Life Cycle, Typical Timelines, and Who Outperforms Next Sun. Dec 21, 2025 | ||
| ● Semiconductors on 2025-12-17: Bullish Headlines, Bearish Tape — Who’s Telling the Truth? Wed. Dec 17, 2025 | ||
| Market News | ||
| 1 (8) Intel Stocks Surges. It’s Shaping Up to Be a Good Year for Chip Makers. Intel and AMD stocks gained after being upgraded by KeyBanc analyst John Vinh. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 2 (7) Cerebras in Discussions to Raise Funds at $22 Billion Valuation AI chip provider Cerebras Systems Inc. is in talks to raise roughly $1 billion in a new funding round, according to a person familiar with the matter, bolstering the company’s efforts to compete with Nvidia Corp. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 3 (8) Prediction: This 1 Thing Will Make Nvidia the Biggest Winner of the AI Race. (Hint: It's Not the GPU.) Jensen Huang, speaking at CES, said something that supports the idea of ongoing leadership. (https://www.fool.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 4 (8) Intel’s stock is popping. Here’s how it can become an AI winner and rack up even more gains. Intel is seeing momentum in server CPUs and with its manufacturing technology, leading a KeyBanc analyst to turn bullish on its stock. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 5 (8) AMD, Intel Pop After a Pair of Upgrades. Here’s Why One Wall Street Bull Likes the Stocks Intel and AMD shares surged Tuesday after KeyBanc analysts upgraded the stocks, pointing to strong AI demand. (https://www.investopedia.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 6 (-2) Trump Says Tech Giants Must Bear Cost Of Data Center Electricity, As Microsoft Joins OpenAI In Demanding Subsidies ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero (https://www.zerohedge.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 7 (8) Intel Stocks Surges. It’s Shaping Up to Be a Good Year for Chip Makers. Intel and AMD stocks gained after being upgraded by KeyBanc analyst John Vinh. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 8 (0) SK Hynix Plans $13 Billion Memory-Chip Plant. What It Means for Micron Stock. SK Hynix and Micron Technology are rivals in making high-bandwidth memory for AI chips. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 9 (8) Intel Stocks Surges. It’s Shaping Up to Be a Good Year for Chip Makers. Intel and AMD stocks gained after being upgraded by KeyBanc analyst John Vinh. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 10 (7) AI Chip Startup Etched Raises $500 Million to Take on Nvidia AI chip startup Etched raised about $500 million in a new funding round, according to people familiar with the matter, part of an effort to compete with Nvidia Corp. in the booming market for artificial intelligence processors. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 11 (5) Why Intel Stock Popped Today Intel's AI business is going gangbusters -- so why is Intel still burning cash? (https://www.fool.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 12 (9) Wall Street Has a New Favorite Artificial Intelligence (AI) Semiconductor Stock for 2026 -- With Nearly 100% of Analysts Covering It Rating It a Buy (Hint: It's Not Nvidia) Among the 48 analysts covering Broadcom now, none of them calls the stock a sell. (https://www.fool.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 13 (7) Microsoft says it's taking a 'community-first' approach to AI Microsoft (MSFT) says it will pay to ensure that data centers don't increase residents' electricity prices as part of its "community-first" artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure plan. Yahoo Finance Tech Editor Dan Howley outlines the commitments the tech giant has made. To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Market Domination. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 14 (8) AI Chip Startup Etched Raises $500 Million to Take on Nvidia The round, which was led by investment firm Stripes LLC and includes participation from billionaire entrepreneur Peter Thiel, valued the company at $5 billion, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the agreement hasn’t been announced. Positive Sum and Ribbit Capital also invested, they said. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 15 (5) US greenlights Nvidia H200 chip exports to China The Trump administration on Tuesday gave the greenlight to exports to China of Nvidia's second most powerful AI chips, putting in place a rule that will likely kickstart shipments of the H200, the federal register showed. According to the regulations, the chips will be reviewed by a third party testing lab to confirm their technical AI capabilities before they can be shipped to China. Nvidia will need to certify there are enough H200s in the U.S. and Chinese customers must demonstrate "sufficient security procedures." (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 16 (8) Investors should buy AMD’s stock now: This analyst explains why he changed his mind The chip maker is almost sold out of server CPUs this year, while demand for its AI chips should support up to $15 billion in revenue, KeyBanc said. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 17 (-6) Salesforce and Adobe see their stocks slide as AI fears intensify The two software stocks were among the S&P 500’s biggest losers on Tuesday as investors considered the threat AI poses to their business models. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 18 (8) HIVE stock surges on latest Paraguay expansion HIVE Digital said it is launching one of the first purpose-built AI BUZZ cloud platforms in Paraguay. (https://www.thestreet.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 19 (3) Tesla Stock Slips. Why This Analyst Is ‘Tactically Constructive’ Anyway. Tesla stock was rising. This needs to be the year of AI execution to keep Tesla stock strong. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 20 (8) Intel Stocks Surges. It’s Shaping Up to Be a Good Year for Chip Makers. Intel and AMD stocks gained after being upgraded by KeyBanc analyst John Vinh. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 21 (-2) New York Tells Data Centers They Must Pay More for Power New York plans to require data center operators to shoulder more of the cost of powering their energy-hungry facilities, aiming to prevent surging electricity demand from pushing up household utility bills. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 22 (7) Broadcom, Marvell In Focus As Semicondcutor Analyst Flags AI-Driven Supply Crunch, Custom Silicon Upside Hyperscaler demand is tightening memory supply and lifting semiconductor prices, prompting analyst upgrades for Intel and AMD while spotlighting AI-driven upside for Broadcom, Marvell, Nvidia and Micron. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 23 (2) Top Wall Street Forecasters Revamp Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Price Expectations Ahead Of Q4 Earnings (https://www.benzinga.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 24 (8) Sticking With This AMD Price Target After Revered Analyst Offers Major Boost We're taking a closer look at the AI chip manufacturer after it received a significant upgrade. (https://www.thestreet.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 25 (5) Microsoft Promises Limit On Data Center Electricity Costs—Following Trump Pledge Microsoft’s promises come after President Donald Trump focuses on affordability issues ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. (https://www.forbes.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 26 (5) Microsoft Pledges AI Data Centers Won’t Raise Electricity Bills The company unveiled its Community-First AI Infrastructure plan amid growing concern that AI data centers could strain local power, water, and tax systems. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 27 (1) SK Hynix Plans $13 Billion Memory-Chip Plant. What It Means for Micron Stock. SK Hynix and Micron Technology are rivals in making high-bandwidth memory for AI chips. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 28 (5) Microsoft Pledges AI Data Centers Won’t Raise Electricity Bills The company unveiled its Community-First AI Infrastructure plan amid growing concern that AI data centers could strain local power, water, and tax systems. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 29 (-4) China limits Nvidia chip purchases to special circumstances, Information reports The Chinese government this week told some tech companies it would only approve their purchases of Nvidia's H200 AI chips under special circumstances, such as for university research, the Information reported on Tuesday, citing two people with direct knowledge of the situation. The move signals Beijing is remaining cautious about fully reopening the Chinese market to Nvidia, whose semiconductors are pivotal in operating the most advanced artificial intelligence applications and data centers. China's government issued a "deliberately vague" directive, the report said, telling some technology firms to buy chips only when "necessary" but was unclear as to what that means. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 30 (8) Intel stock rises on analyst upgrade citing data center AI demand, 'significant progress' in manufacturing KeyBanc analyst John Vinh upgraded Intel to Overweight from Sector Weight. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 31 (5) Microsoft says it won’t drive up electricity cost near its data centers Microsoft says it’s taking steps to address increasing electricity costs with what it refers to as its community-driven AI plan. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 32 (8) Investors should buy AMD’s stock now: This analyst explains why he changed his mind The chip maker is almost sold out of server CPUs this year, while demand for its AI chips should support up to $15 billion in revenue, KeyBanc said. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 33 (7) "Entered New Era": SK Hynix To Build $13 Billion Memory Plant As Nvidia CEO Says AI Demand Soaring ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero (https://www.zerohedge.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 34 (7) TSMC to Expand $165 Billion U.S. Investment, Says Report. It’s Part of a Trump Tariffs Deal. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing could build as many as a dozen plants in Arizona, according to The Wall Street Journal. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 35 (2) SK Hynix Plans $13 Billion Memory-Chip Plant. What It Means for Micron Stock. SK Hynix and Micron Technology are rivals in making high-bandwidth memory for AI chips. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 36 (8) Intel, AMD Stocks Surge. It’s Shaping Up to Be a Good Year for Chip Makers. Intel and AMD stocks gained after being upgraded by KeyBanc analyst John Vinh. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 37 (6) Ireland Pushes Power Plan to Attract Data Center Investment Ireland wants to make it easier for large energy users such as data centers and pharmaceutical plants to access electricity as it tries to balance domestic energy constraints with the need to continue to attract international investment. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 38 (5) Microsoft says communities won't see energy price hikes near data centers as utility costs rise Microsoft is asking Wisconsin's Public Service Commission to raise the electric rate the company pays for a data center in the state. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 39 (8) AMD, Intel Stocks Jump After KeyBanc Upgrades On Strong AI Server Demand AMD and Intel shares rise after KeyBanc upgrades both stocks, citing strong AI server demand and improving cloud data trends. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 40 (6) Prediction: This Artificial Intelligence (AI) Chip Stock Will Outperform Nvidia in 2026 (Hint: It's Not AMD) Nvidia has been the biggest beneficiary of the artificial intelligence revolution so far, but another chip stock may be about to kick into a new gear. (https://www.fool.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 41 (7) Microsoft launches data center initiative to limit power costs, water use Jan 13 (Reuters) - Microsoft on Tuesday unveiled a community-focused initiative aimed at lowering water usage at its U.S. data centers and ensuring that the power-hungry facilities do not drive up (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 42 (7) Intel’s stock is popping. Here’s how it can become an AI winner and rack up even more gains. Intel is seeing momentum in server CPUs and with its manufacturing technology, leading a KeyBanc analyst to turn bullish on its stock. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 43 (2) Nvidia Is Stuck in ‘Uncertainty’ Over China Sales. This Analyst Still Expects Gains. Nvidia could sell up to two million chips to China this year but questions remain over when licenses will be approved. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 44 (7) Intel Stock Gains. Why the Chip Company and AMD Got Upgrades. Intel and AMD stocks gained after being upgraded by KeyBanc analyst John Vinh. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 45 (7) TSMC to Expand $165 Billion U.S. Investment, Says Report. It’s Part of a Trump Tariffs Deal. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing could build as many as a dozen plants in Arizona, according to The Wall Street Journal. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 46 (7) Intel Stock Gains. Why the Chip Company and AMD Got Upgrades. Intel and AMD stocks gained after being upgraded by KeyBanc analyst John Vinh. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 47 (8) Bank of America boosts Micron price target, sees upside driven by tight memory supply Rising memory prices and disciplined capital spending across the industry should provide tailwinds for Micron, according to Bank of America. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 48 (8) Intel and AMD get upgrades at KeyBanc thanks to strong server demand for AI KeyBanc upgraded both Intel and Advanced Micro Devices to overweight. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 49 (8) Nvidia Stock Rallied 39% in 2025. This Year, It Could Go Much Higher Despite challenges last year, Nvidia rewarded patient shareholders. It could be just the beginning. (https://www.fool.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 50 (-2) Microsoft's Brad Smith pushes Big Tech to 'pay our way' for AI data centers amid rising opposition It won’t be easy for Big Tech companies to win the hearts and minds of Americans who are angered about massive artificial intelligence data centers sprouting up in their neighborhoods, straining electricity grids and drawing on local reservoirs. Microsoft is trying anyway. The software giant's president, Brad Smith, is meeting with federal lawmakers Tuesday to push forward an approach that calls for the industry, not taxpayers, to pay the full costs of the vast network of computing warehouses needed to power AI chatbots like ChatGPT, Google's Gemini and Microsoft's own Copilot. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
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