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| The semiconductor sector is experiencing significant growth driven by increasing demand for AI technologies and related investments. Major companies like Nvidia, Intel, and AMD are frequently discussed in relation to their stock performances and innovations. The industry's prominence is reflected in numerous articles focusing on market activities, potential IPOs, and advancements in chip technology. However, the sector also faces challenges including market pressures and regulatory factors such as tariffs. The price action of Semiconductors (SOXX) sector is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.9 is bullish. The market sentiment at 1.3 is very bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.SOXX is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for Semiconductors sector is at 1.6, and the negative at -0.3 on 2026-01-14. The forces of Valuation Sentiment (3.3), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (2.8), Market Risk Appetite (2.4), Sector Price Trend (0.9), and Broad Market Trend (0.1) will drive up the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (-0.5), and Option Sentiment (-1.5) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Broad Market Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on SOXX trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Prefrence is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| SOXX | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 | 6%(4.7%) | 331.96 | 86 | -0.4% | 0.84% | 0.9 | 0% | 0.6% | 1.3 | Wait | 50% | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| 2026-01-13 | 7%(4.7%) | 333.3 | 93 | 0.89% | 0.88% | 1 | 0.06% | 0.6% | 1.1 | Wait | 50% | 3.2 | 5.1 |
| 2026-01-12 | 3%(5.3%) | 330.35 | 94 | 0.48% | 0.76% | 1.5 | 0.18% | 1.3% | 1 | Long | 60% | 3.4 | 4.8 |
| 2026-01-11 | 3%(5.7%) | 0.9 | 0.06% | 1.6 | 3.6 | 6.4 | |||||||
| 2026-01-10 | 3%(6.4%) | 0.9 | 0.06% | 1.6 | 3.7 | 4.8 | |||||||
| 2026-01-09 | 5%(6.1%) | 328.78 | 96 | 2.88% | 0.74% | 0.9 | 0.06% | 1.3% | 1.3 | Wait | 50% | 3.8 | 5.5 |
| 2026-01-08 | 6%(7%) | 319.58 | 79 | -1.63% | 0.45% | 1.2 | -0.09% | 1.1% | 1.2 | Wait | 50% | 3.9 | 3.5 |
| 2026-01-07 | 6%(6.7%) | 324.89 | 94 | -1.07% | 0.68% | 1.4 | 0.09% | 1% | 1.3 | Short | 65% | 4.1 | 5.6 |
| 2026-01-06 | 11%(6.4%) | 328.39 | 108 | 3.25% | 0.95% | 2.2 | 0.28% | 1.6% | 1.5 | Long | 60% | 4.2 | 4.9 |
| 2026-01-05 | 6%(5.6%) | 318.06 | 90 | 1.33% | 0.86% | 1.4 | 0.22% | 2% | 1.1 | Long | 65% | 3.8 | 6.5 |
| Wait is the preferred trading strategy with 50% chance of being right. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● Semiconductors Surge as AI Optimism Peaks — But Are Valuations Running Ahead of Reality? Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| ● AI Euphoria Meets Reality: Semiconductors Rally as Headlines Surge on CES Breakthroughs Mon. Jan 5, 2026 | ||
| ● Semiconductors Stall as AI Euphoria Surges: Calm Before the Next Breakout? Fri. Dec 26, 2025 | ||
| ● AI Data Center Buildout: The Life Cycle, Typical Timelines, and Who Outperforms Next Sun. Dec 21, 2025 | ||
| ● Semiconductors on 2025-12-17: Bullish Headlines, Bearish Tape — Who’s Telling the Truth? Wed. Dec 17, 2025 | ||
| Market News | ||
| 1 (-3) Trump Puts 25% Tariffs on Chips. It Only Matters to Nvidia and AMD—for Now. President Donald Trump on Wednesday signed two executive orders to impose tariffs on some semiconductors and prepare for tariffs on critical minerals, if needed. (https://www.barrons.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 2 (-3) Trump Puts 25% Tariffs on Chips. It Only Matters to Nvidia and AMD—for Now. President Donald Trump on Wednesday signed two executive orders to impose tariffs on some semiconductors and prepare for tariffs on critical minerals, if needed. (https://www.barrons.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 3 (2) Cathie Wood Dumps $38 Million Worth Of Tesla Stock Amid Robotaxi Optimism, Buys Shares of This Chipmaker Despite China Crackdown On Wednesday, January 14, 2026, Cathie Wood's Ark Invest sold $38M in Tesla while buying $49M in Broadcom and offloading TSMC shares amid China regulatory concerns and AI chip supply constraints. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 4 (4) Alphabet and Amazon Just Said Something That May Eliminate Nvidia's Biggest Risk Investors have wondered how long Nvidia may hold onto its AI leadership. (https://www.fool.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 5 (7) Nvidia vs. Alphabet: Which Is the Better AI Growth Stock for 2026? Both companies are riding the AI wave, but one stock offers a better mix of growth momentum and valuation today. (https://www.fool.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 6 (2) U.S. sets 25% tariff on some chip sales as part of Nvidia deal The U.S. imposed a 25% tariff on imports of certain semiconductors, a key step allowing Nvidia Corp. to ship processors to China. Read on (https://financialpost.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 7 (7) Anthropic debuts AI intern for noncoders Meet Claude Cowork, a more user-friendly version of Anthropic's hit vibe coding tool. (https://www.morningbrew.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 8 (7) Microsoft will pay for its data centers’ energy costs The tech company said yesterday that it would pay more when it builds a new data center in a city to ensure elevated electricity costs aren’t passed onto consumers. (https://www.morningbrew.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 9 (8) Micron: Accelerating HBM Ramp Extends Growth Into 2027 Micron is well-positioned for the HBM demand boom and is ramping production to meet unprecedented AI-driven demand for memory. (https://www.marketbeat.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 10 (5) Microsoft promised consumers won't foot the bill for its data centers. Our interactive map shows where its facilities are located. Business Insider found where 44 of Microsoft's data centers are located as of 2024. It promised this week consumers won't be on the hook for them. (https://www.businessinsider.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 11 (7) Google Rolls Out 'Personal Intelligence' Feature To Power More Context-Aware Gemini AI Google's rolling out a test for a new AI feature that links data from apps like Gmail and Google Photos to provide more tailored responses in its Gemini chatbot. (https://www.rttnews.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 12 (-4) Trump Orders New Tariffs on Some Semiconductors, Critical Minerals The new tariffs come ahead of expected ruling by the Supreme Court. (https://www.barrons.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 13 (-5) Trump Orders New Tariffs on Some Semiconductors, Critical Minerals The new tariffs come ahead of expected ruling by the Supreme Court. (https://www.barrons.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 14 (-2) Key US Power Grid Cuts Demand Outlook on Overstated AI Boom The biggest US grid operator dialed back its forecast for power demand growth, offering a reality check to the frenzy around the artificial intelligence boom. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 15 (8) Cerebras scores OpenAI deal worth over $10 billion ahead of AI chipmaker's IPO The deal will help diversify Cerebras away from the United Arab Emirates G42, which accounted for 87% of revenue in the first half of 2024. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 16 (-2) Trump administration clears way for Nvidia H200 chip sales to China with a 25% surcharge The H200's performance has been exceeded by two generations of Nvidia chips currently in production, the Blackwell and Rubin. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 17 (8) CleanSpark Shares Surge As Texas Land Deal Positions Company For AI Data Center Growth CLSK shares surge after announcing expansion of Texas footprint with land and transmission deal near Houston for AI and HPC data centers. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 18 (-3) Trump imposes 25% tariff on imports of some advanced computing chips U.S. President Donald Trump on Wednesday imposed a 25% tariff on certain advanced computing chips, such as the Nvidia H200 AI processor and a similar semiconductor from AMD called the MI325X, according to a fact sheet released by the White House. The proclamation cited national security concerns for the tariffs, and is part of a broader effort to create incentives for chipmakers to produce more semiconductors in the U.S. and decrease reliance on chip manufacturers in places like Taiwan. The tariff will not apply to chips imported for U.S. data centers, startups, non-data center consumer applications, non-data center civil industrial applications and U.S. public sector applications. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 19 (8) OpenAI to buy compute power from Cerebras in deal worth more than $10 billion, source says OpenAI said on Wednesday it will purchase up to 750 megawatts of computing power over three years from chipmaker Cerebras as the ChatGPT maker looks to pull ahead in the AI race and capitalize on growing demand. The ChatGPT maker plans to use the systems built by Cerebras to power its popular chatbot in what is the latest in a string of multi-billion-dollar deals struck by OpenAI. It also underscores the industry's strong appetite for computing power as companies race to build systems and applications that can rival or surpass human intelligence. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 20 (-5) Micron sends hard-nosed message after controversial decision The company's controversial pivot meets a blunt reality check on how supply issues will impact consumers. (https://www.thestreet.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 21 (8) The AI Boom Gets Its First Earnings Test of the Year. Watch TSMC Stock. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is expected to report a 25% rise in fourth-quarter profit when it releases its earnings on Thursday. (https://www.barrons.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 22 (-5) Nvidia Stock Drops: What's Behind The Slide? Nvidia shares are trading lower on Wednesday. The stock may be declining following reports Nvidia's H200 chips are being restricted in China. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 23 (-5) Nvidia & Broadcom stocks dragged by China's tech bans: Reports Yahoo Finance anchor Josh Lipton tracks Wednesday's top moving stocks and biggest market stories in this Market Minute. Nvidia (NVDA) stock is under pressure after Reuters reported that China is not allowing the sale of its H200 chips. There are also reports that China is banning Chinese companies from using US cybersecurity software, sending Broadcom (AVGO) stock lower. Meanwhile, AppLovin (APP) is the worst performer in the S&P 500 (^GSPC) so far in Wednesday's trading session. Stay up to date on the latest market action, minute-by-minute, with Yahoo Finance's Market Minute. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 24 (5) Amid the AI boom, Intel is focusing on the basics Intel's Core Ultra Series 3 could be the key to the company's turnaround effort. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 25 (7) The AI Boom Gets Its First Earnings Test of the Year. Watch TSMC Stock. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is expected to report a 25% rise in fourth-quarter profit when it releases its earnings on Thursday. (https://www.barrons.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 26 (8) Intel Stock Surges Toward 2-Year High. What Has the Market Excited. Intel stock is closing in on levels above $50 for the first time since late 2023. (https://www.barrons.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 27 (5) CrowdStrike CEO says AI agents are unpredictable as company snaps up more cybersecurity startups CrowdStrike has come out swinging in 2026 with some key deals. Here's why. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 28 (-6) Oracle sued by bondholders over losses tied to AI buildout Oracle was sued on Wednesday by bondholders who say they suffered losses because the company led by billionaire Larry Ellison failed to disclose it needed to sell significant additional debt to build out its artificial intelligence infrastructure. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 29 (-4) This Chip Maker Stock Is Falling. Investors Wanted Perfection From Its Earnings Guidance. The Internet of Things player Impinj raises its profit and revenue forecasts—but investors were looking for more. (https://www.barrons.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 30 (-6) Palo Alto, Fortinet Stocks Drop. Why China Is Behind the Move. Palo Alto Networks and Fortinet stock were falling early Wednesday following a report that China has ordered domestic companies to stop using software made by some U.S. companies. (https://www.barrons.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 31 (8) Intel Stock Surges Toward 2-Year High. What Has the Market Excited. Intel stock is closing in on levels above $50 for the first time since late 2023. (https://www.barrons.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 32 (7) Why AMD's Least Hyped CES Announcement Could Be Its Most Important As AI inference shifts to local devices, AMD is ready. (https://www.fool.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 33 (8) NVIDIA's Next Chip Isn't Just Faster -- It Could Make AI 10 Times Cheaper to Run The Rubin platform can significantly reduce token costs, opening up new use cases for AI. (https://www.fool.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 34 (-5) Dutch court hears arguments in Nexperia mismanagement case that upset the global auto industry Lawyers for Dutch-based semiconductor maker Nexperia and its Chinese owners faced off in an Amsterdam courtroom Wednesday in a corporate mismanagement case that has sent shock waves through the global auto manufacturing industry. The hearing at the enterprise chamber of the Amsterdam Court of Appeal was called to decide if the judges should launch an investigation into alleged mismanagement at Nexperia. The power struggle at Nexperia emerged in the public spotlight in October, after the Dutch government said it had effectively seized control of the company since late September based on national security concerns. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 35 (-7) Nvidia stock falls as China reportedly restricts imports of H200 chips Chinese authorities have instructed customs agents to ban the entrance of Nvidia's H200 AI chips into the country, according to Reuters. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 36 (8) Here’s how Sandisk’s stock can follow its 1,000% surge with even more gains As AI models get larger, the need for nearline storage will drive memory demand, benefiting Sandisk and Seagate, Bernstein said. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 37 (8) Intel Stock Surges Further Toward 2-Year High. What the Excitement’s About. Intel stock is closing in on levels above $50 for the first time since late 2023. (https://www.barrons.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 38 (5) Nvidia Just Got the Final China Chip Rules From U.S. Now It Waits on Beijing. Nvidia stock was reacting to news the Trump administration had finalized the requirements for the chip maker to sell its H200 chips in China. (https://www.barrons.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 39 (8) Intel Stock Surges Further Toward 2-Year High. What the Excitement’s About. Intel stock is closing in on levels above $50 for the first time since late 2023. (https://www.barrons.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 40 (5) Nvidia Just Got the Final China Chip Rules From U.S. Now It Waits on Beijing. Nvidia stock was reacting to news the Trump administration had finalized the requirements for the chip maker to sell its H200 chips in China. (https://www.barrons.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 41 (8) This semiconductor equipment stock has doubled in the past year. Why Bernstein sees more upside Bernstein's $1,700 price target implies upside of 18% for KLA Corporation. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 42 (0) Data Center Power and Cooling: 2026 Top Picks Data Center Power and Cooling: 2026 Top Picks (https://www.investing.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 43 (-6) Nvidia Just Delivered Very Bad News for Tesla Stock Investors Tesla's long-awaited robotaxi is facing competitive threats before it even hits the road. (https://www.fool.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 44 (0) Analysts drop verdicts on AMD, Intel, and ARM Here’s what could happen to AMD, Intel, and ARM shares next. (https://www.thestreet.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 45 (8) Intel Stocks Surges. It’s Shaping Up to Be a Good Year for Chip Makers. Intel and AMD stocks gained after being upgraded by KeyBanc analyst John Vinh. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 46 (7) Cerebras in Discussions to Raise Funds at $22 Billion Valuation AI chip provider Cerebras Systems Inc. is in talks to raise roughly $1 billion in a new funding round, according to a person familiar with the matter, bolstering the company’s efforts to compete with Nvidia Corp. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 47 (-6) Meta's VR layoffs, studio closures underscore Zuckerberg's massive pivot to AI Meta began laying off employees in its Reality Labs division focused on virtual reality and shut down several VR studios as it pushes resources towards AI. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 48 (8) Prediction: This 1 Thing Will Make Nvidia the Biggest Winner of the AI Race. (Hint: It's Not the GPU.) Jensen Huang, speaking at CES, said something that supports the idea of ongoing leadership. (https://www.fool.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| 49 (-5) Chipmaker Nexperia and Chinese owner Wingtech fight for control in Dutch court Dutch chipmaker Nexperia's European managers face the company's Chinese owner Wingtech in an Amsterdam court on Wednesday in the latest round of a fight for control that has led to a shortage of chips used by carmakers. The dispute at Nexperia escalated on September 30 when the Dutch government seized control of the company, citing fears it was transferring operations and intellectual property to China. The government later revoked the move to defuse a standoff with Beijing. Nexperia makes silicon wafers - discs containing multiple chips - in Europe, which are then sent to its plant in China where they are cut and packaged. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Wed. Jan 14, 2026 | ||
| 50 (8) Intel’s stock is popping. Here’s how it can become an AI winner and rack up even more gains. Intel is seeing momentum in server CPUs and with its manufacturing technology, leading a KeyBanc analyst to turn bullish on its stock. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
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