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| Recent trends indicate a robust performance in the financial markets, highlighted by the S&P 500 reaching record highs and a strong focus on technology stocks driven by AI investments. These developments showcase the resilience and potential for growth in various sectors, including energy and utilities. Investor sentiment remains positive, despite underlying economic concerns. Major equities, particularly in the S&P 500, reflect strong gains and continued investor interest. The price action of U.S. Large Cap (SPY) asset class is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to asset-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.6 is bullish. The market sentiment at 1.1 is very bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.SPY is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1.6, and the negative at -0.5 on 2025-12-26. The forces of Asset Sentiment (5.6), and Asset Price Trend (0.6) will drive up the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (-0.5), and Option Sentiment (-1.3) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Asset Price Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Asset Sentiment scores are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| SPY | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Asset Sentiment | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-26 | 2%(1.6%) | 690.24 | 88 | -0.02% | 0.01% | 0.6 | 0.03% | 0.2% | 1.1 | Wait | 50% | 5.6 | 3.7 |
| 2025-12-25 | 0%(1.6%) | 0.7 | 0.04% | 1.5 | 5.5 | 0 | |||||||
| 2025-12-24 | 5%(1.7%) | 690.38 | 95 | 0.35% | 0.04% | 0.7 | 0.04% | 0.3% | 1 | Wait | 50% | 5 | 6.1 |
| 2025-12-23 | 1%(1.1%) | 687.94 | 85 | 0.47% | 0.07% | 0.4 | 0.06% | 0.4% | 0.7 | Wait | 50% | 3.9 | 6.2 |
| 2025-12-22 | 1%(1.1%) | 684.72 | 69 | 0.62% | 0.01% | 0.2 | 0.06% | 0.4% | 0.6 | Wait | 50% | 3.2 | 6.4 |
| 2025-12-21 | 1%(1.1%) | -0 | 0.04% | 0.9 | 3.6 | 8 | |||||||
| 2025-12-20 | 1%(1.3%) | -0 | 0.04% | 0.9 | 3.6 | 7.5 | |||||||
| 2025-12-19 | 2%(1.3%) | 680.51 | 53 | 0.6% | -0.07% | -0 | 0.04% | 0.4% | 0.6 | Long | 60% | 3.4 | 5.5 |
| 2025-12-18 | 1%(1.1%) | 676.48 | 45 | 0.76% | -0.12% | -0.2 | 0% | 0.4% | 0.6 | Long | 65% | 3.6 | 4.2 |
| 2025-12-17 | 1%(1.1%) | 671.4 | 34 | -1.1% | -0.19% | -0.3 | -0.09% | 0.5% | 0.5 | Wait | 50% | 3.6 | 4 |
| Wait is the preferred trading strategy with 50% chance of being right. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● Relief Rally or Risky Calm? Are Markets Pricing a Soft Landing—or Ignoring the Storm? Mon. Dec 22, 2025 | ||
| ● Relief Rally or False Calm? What December 19’s Price Action Is Really Saying Fri. Dec 19, 2025 | ||
| ● Rate Cuts or Reality Check? Why Markets Fell Even as Optimism Lingers Wed. Dec 17, 2025 | ||
| ● Is the Market Betting on Growth or Bracing for Trouble? Mon. Dec 15, 2025 | ||
| ● AI Shockwaves, Tariff Battles, and Fed Crosscurrents: The Market Events Shaping December 11, 2025 Thu. Dec 11, 2025 | ||
| 2025-12-26 22:47:34 Large cap stocks are key drivers in S&P 500 performance. |
| 2025-12-26 17:48:47 The S&P 500 continues to show strong performance, reflecting broad market sentiment. |
| 2025-12-26 16:16:18 The S&P 500 continues to reach record highs, reflecting strong investor sentiment and overall market performance. |
| 2025-12-26 16:15:30 Stocks are frequently mentioned and are central to market discussions. |
| 2025-12-26 15:47:51 The S&P 500 is notably referenced, focusing on its recent market momentum. |
| 2025-12-26 13:48:33 The stock market, especially the S&P 500, shows potential for growth despite uncertainties. |
| 2025-12-26 11:47:53 U.S. stocks are prominently featured, demonstrating the highest level of representation. |
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