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| The economic area has demonstrated strong performance, with stock indices, particularly the S&P 500, reaching record highs. Investor sentiment remains positive, driven by significant discussions around growth prospects and strong returns in major equities. However, concerns over mixed economic indicators and warnings from influential figures have caused some caution in the market. The focus on technology and AI-related stocks also indicates potential future growth. The price action of U.S. Large Cap (SPY) asset class is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to asset-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.6 is bullish. The market sentiment at 1.5 is very bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.SPY is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1.6, and the negative at -0.1 on 2025-12-28. The forces of Asset Sentiment (5.7), Asset Price Trend (0.6), and Option Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of and Price Level Sentiment (-0.5) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Asset Price Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Asset Sentiment scores are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| SPY | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Asset Sentiment | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-28 | 5%(2%) | 0.6 | 0.03% | 1.5 | 5.7 | 4.6 | |||||||
| 2025-12-27 | 0%(1.4%) | 0.6 | 0.03% | 1.4 | 5.5 | 0 | |||||||
| 2025-12-26 | 2%(1.6%) | 690.24 | 88 | -0.02% | 0.01% | 0.6 | 0.03% | 0.2% | 1.1 | Wait | 50% | 5.6 | 3.7 |
| 2025-12-25 | 0%(1.6%) | 0.7 | 0.04% | 1.5 | 5.5 | 0 | |||||||
| 2025-12-24 | 5%(1.7%) | 690.38 | 95 | 0.35% | 0.04% | 0.7 | 0.04% | 0.3% | 1 | Wait | 50% | 5 | 6.1 |
| 2025-12-23 | 1%(1.1%) | 687.94 | 85 | 0.47% | 0.07% | 0.4 | 0.06% | 0.4% | 0.7 | Wait | 50% | 3.9 | 6.2 |
| 2025-12-22 | 1%(1.1%) | 684.72 | 69 | 0.62% | 0.01% | 0.2 | 0.06% | 0.4% | 0.6 | Wait | 50% | 3.2 | 6.4 |
| 2025-12-21 | 1%(1.1%) | -0 | 0.04% | 0.9 | 3.6 | 8 | |||||||
| 2025-12-20 | 1%(1.3%) | -0 | 0.04% | 0.9 | 3.6 | 7.5 | |||||||
| 2025-12-19 | 2%(1.3%) | 680.51 | 53 | 0.6% | -0.07% | -0 | 0.04% | 0.4% | 0.6 | Long | 60% | 3.4 | 5.5 |
| Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● Relief Rally or Risky Calm? Are Markets Pricing a Soft Landing—or Ignoring the Storm? Mon. Dec 22, 2025 | ||
| ● Relief Rally or False Calm? What December 19’s Price Action Is Really Saying Fri. Dec 19, 2025 | ||
| ● Rate Cuts or Reality Check? Why Markets Fell Even as Optimism Lingers Wed. Dec 17, 2025 | ||
| ● Is the Market Betting on Growth or Bracing for Trouble? Mon. Dec 15, 2025 | ||
| ● AI Shockwaves, Tariff Battles, and Fed Crosscurrents: The Market Events Shaping December 11, 2025 Thu. Dec 11, 2025 | ||
| 2025-12-28 22:46:46 Stock futures remain stable as the S&P 500 reaches new record highs, indicating strong market performance. |
| 2025-12-28 17:46:57 Stocks are trending positively with significant returns expected. |
| 2025-12-28 16:15:27 U.S. stocks showed a healthy gain in 2025, and expectations remain positive for the upcoming year. |
| 2025-12-28 13:46:16 U.S. stock market, particularly S&P 500, remains a focal point with predictions of continued growth. |
| 2025-12-28 11:47:09 The S&P 500 is at record highs with optimistic views on stock market performance. |
| 2025-12-28 09:33:30 Warren Buffett warns about stock market performance. |
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