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| The U.S. large-cap stocks are experiencing strong performance, particularly within the S&P 500, which is showing bullish trends and expectations for continued growth. Investors are placing significant confidence in large-cap equities, bolstered by recent stability in the technology sector. Moreover, passive investment strategies in ETFs are outperforming active management approaches, indicating favorable market dynamics. However, there are concerns about market volatility and sector rotations that could impact overall performance. The price action of U.S. Large Cap (SPY) asset class is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to asset-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.2 is modestly bullish. The market sentiment at 0.6 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.SPY is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1.1, and the negative at -0.5 on 2026-01-06. The forces of Asset Sentiment (4), and Asset Price Trend (0.2) will drive up the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (-0.5), and Option Sentiment (-1.3) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Asset Price Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Asset Sentiment scores are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| SPY | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Asset Sentiment | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | 2%(1.4%) | 691.79 | 87 | 0.59% | 0.17% | 0.2 | 0.06% | 0.4% | 0.6 | Wait | 50% | 4 | 5.9 |
| 2026-01-05 | 1%(1.3%) | 687.7 | 70 | 0.66% | 0.16% | -0.7 | 0.01% | 0.4% | 0.5 | Wait | 50% | 3.9 | 6.1 |
| 2026-01-04 | 1%(1.3%) | -0.3 | -0.08% | 1 | 4.1 | 0 | |||||||
| 2026-01-03 | 1%(1.9%) | -0.3 | -0.04% | 1.2 | 5 | -6 | |||||||
| 2026-01-02 | 1%(1.7%) | 683.21 | 47 | 0.2% | 0.18% | -0.3 | -0.04% | 0.3% | 0.9 | Wait | 50% | 5.1 | 4 |
| 2026-01-01 | 2%(1.9%) | 0.1 | -0.04% | 1.3 | 5.1 | 4.7 | |||||||
| 2025-12-31 | 2%(1.6%) | 681.86 | 40 | -0.74% | 0.04% | 0.1 | -0.04% | 0.3% | 1 | Wait | 50% | 5.2 | 7.3 |
| 2025-12-30 | 1%(2%) | 686.95 | 67 | -0.13% | 0.07% | 0.2 | -0.03% | 0.2% | 1.3 | Wait | 50% | 6 | 2.8 |
| 2025-12-29 | 1%(2%) | 687.85 | 73 | -0.35% | 0.1% | 0.2 | -0.01% | 0.2% | 1.2 | Wait | 50% | 5.8 | 1.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | 5%(2%) | 0.6 | 0.03% | 1.5 | 5.7 | 4.6 | |||||||
| Wait is the preferred trading strategy with 50% chance of being right. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● Relief Rally or Risky Calm? Are Markets Pricing a Soft Landing—or Ignoring the Storm? Mon. Dec 22, 2025 | ||
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| ● Rate Cuts or Reality Check? Why Markets Fell Even as Optimism Lingers Wed. Dec 17, 2025 | ||
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| ● AI Shockwaves, Tariff Battles, and Fed Crosscurrents: The Market Events Shaping December 11, 2025 Thu. Dec 11, 2025 | ||
| 2026-01-06 22:47:43 Stocks are heavily featured in multiple articles, reflecting a major focus on this asset class. |
| 2026-01-06 17:49:53 The S&P 500 is frequently referenced, indicating strong market performance and investment outlook. |
| 2026-01-06 16:15:32 Stocks are repeatedly mentioned across various articles, indicating a strong focus on the equity markets. |
| 2026-01-06 15:48:24 US equities are performing strongly, with major indices like the Dow and S&P 500 nearing record highs. |
| 2026-01-06 11:49:44 The S&P 500 is a focal point for investments and future predictions. |
| 2026-01-06 09:35:28 US Stocks, particularly the S&P 500, are anticipated to rise significantly, reflecting strong investor sentiment. |
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