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Tesla (TSLA) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Sun. Jan 4, 2026

Significant advancements in Tesla's product and service development focus on autonomous driving, AI technologies, and the expansion of robo-taxi services. Innovations like the Cybercab production and ongoing efforts towards Full Self-Driving capabilities are key areas for growth and market optimism. However, production adjustments to accommodate these innovations are negatively impacting sales forecasts, creating a tension between transformative goals and immediate financial performance.

The price action of Tesla (TSLA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -1.1 is very bearish. The market sentiment at -0.7 is bearish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.TSLA is likely to move down since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.1, and the negative at -0.8 on 2026-01-04. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (-2), Valuation Sentiment (-1.6), Stock Price Trend (-1.1), and Sector Price Trend (-0.3) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0), Option Sentiment (0), and Market Risk Appetite (0.4) will drive up the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

Earning Release: 2026-01-28 02:00, EPS: $1.9, P/E: 230.56

TSLA
DateAttentionPricePrice
Level
ChangeSMA10
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2026-01-042%(2.3%)    -1.1    -0.28%    -0.7          -2    -3.3   
2026-01-032%(2.1%)    -1.1    -0.27%    -0.8          -1.7    0.3   
2026-01-022%(2%)      438.07 11    -2.59%    -0.61%    -1.1    -0.27%    1.6%    -0.2    Short    65%    -1.5    -0.7   
2026-01-013%(2%)    -0.8    -0.17%    -0.1          -0.8    0.6   
2025-12-313%(1.7%)      449.72 27    -1%    -0.84%    -0.8    -0.17%    1.1%    0    Short    65%    -1    0.7   
2025-12-303%(1.6%)      454.24 37    -1.17%    -0.44%    -0.6    -0.32%    1.8%    -0.2    Short    65%    -1.8    -3.9   
2025-12-291%(1.4%)      459.64 46    -3.27%    0%    0.1    -0.23%    1.9%    0.4    Short    65%    -0.3    0.6   
2025-12-281%(1.4%)    0.5    -0.1%    0.2          0    3   
2025-12-271%(1.6%)    0.5    -0.1%    0.3          0.6    7   
2025-12-262%(2%)      475.19 67    -2.1%    0.61%    0.5    -0.1%    0.8%    0.3    Short    65%    0.9    1.5   
 
Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.
Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

2026-01-04 17:01:15 The overall shifting dynamics of the electric vehicle market, including Tesla's position and competitive challenges, are creating an evolving trend.
2026-01-04 17:01:15 The mixed activities of buying and selling shares by investment firms indicate a cautious yet prevailing level of investor confidence regarding Tesla's future.
2026-01-04 17:01:15 Several articles indicate significant changes in Tesla's stock holdings by institutional investors, suggesting volatility in stock performance.
2026-01-04 17:01:15 Various institutional investors are actively adjusting their positions in Tesla, reflecting ongoing interest and investment in the company.
2026-01-04 17:01:15 The emergence of BYD as a leading competitor to Tesla in the electric vehicle market highlights increasing industry competition.
2026-01-04 15:46:47 The article highlights competitive pressures within the industry, particularly on Tesla, suggesting a challenging market environment for large-cap firms.
2026-01-04 15:46:47 The mention of Tesla missing its Q4 delivery estimates points to concerns regarding company earnings and outlook.
2026-01-04 15:46:47 The article discusses significant losses in stock performance for several large-cap companies, indicating market struggles and negative investor sentiment.
2026-01-04 13:47:00 The unexpected reaction to Tesla's report reflects broader trends within the market and suggests volatility in investor sentiment.
2026-01-04 13:47:00 Investors were anticipating a different reaction to Tesla's performance than what was observed, indicating a disconnect between expectations and reality.
2026-01-04 11:47:16 Nio's achievement of record vehicle deliveries highlights its growth trajectory and positive reception in the market.
2026-01-04 11:47:16 Waymo's expansion of robotaxi services showcases advancements in autonomous vehicle technology and service delivery.
2026-01-04 11:47:16 Leapmotor's substantial funding signifies investor confidence in new automotive players and their potential innovations.
2026-01-04 11:47:16 BYD's significant increase in overseas deliveries indicates a growing trend and demand for electric vehicles outside of China.
2026-01-04 11:47:16 Tesla's loss of its position as the world's leading EV maker to BYD reflects a significant shift in market dynamics and competitive landscape.


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