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| Recent advancements in chip production, particularly the initiation of mass production for 2nm chips, underscores significant technological progress in the semiconductor industry, particularly in response to growing demands for AI technologies. This evolution reflects a broad capacity for innovation and scaling within the industry, positioning key players advantageously. However, the market is also witnessing disruptions in adjacent sectors such as financial services, which could influence investment and operational strategies. Balancing these dynamics will be crucial for continued success. |
| The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 2.1 is extremely bullish. The market sentiment at 0.7 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.TSM is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1, and the negative at -0.3 on 2026-01-02. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (2.8), Stock Price Trend (2.1), Sector Price Trend (1.4), and Market Risk Appetite (0.4) will drive up the price. The forces of Valuation Sentiment (-0.2), Option Sentiment (-0.3), and Price Level Sentiment (-1) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| TSM | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 | 1%(0.3%) | 319.68 | 110 | 5.18% | 1.46% | 2.1 | 0.29% | 2.3% | 0.8 | Long | 60% | 2.8 | 7 |
| 2026-01-01 | 1%(0.1%) | 0.7 | 0.03% | 0.8 | 3.1 | 4 | |||||||
| 2025-12-31 | 0%(0%) | 303.92 | 75 | 1.38% | 0.58% | 0.7 | 0.03% | 0.8% | 0.7 | Long | 65% | 3.1 | 6.5 |
| 2025-12-30 | 0%(0%) | 299.77 | 64 | -0.43% | 0.41% | 0.5 | 0% | 0.4% | 0.5 | Wait | 50% | 2.8 | 6 |
| 2025-12-29 | 0%(0%) | 301.06 | 70 | -0.62% | 0.31% | 0.9 | 0.03% | 0.5% | 0.9 | Long | 65% | 3.7 | -1 |
| 2025-12-28 | 0%(0%) | 0.9 | 0.1% | 0.7 | 4 | -1 | |||||||
| 2025-12-27 | 0%(0%) | 0.9 | 0.1% | 0.7 | 4.1 | -1 | |||||||
| 2025-12-26 | 0%(0%) | 302.94 | 78 | 1.39% | -0.07% | 0.9 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7 | Long | 65% | 4.5 | -1 |
| 2025-12-25 | 0%(0%) | 0.5 | 0.1% | 1.2 | 4.2 | -1 | |||||||
| 2025-12-24 | 0%(0%) | 298.8 | 67 | 0.61% | -0.41% | 0.5 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.4 | Long | 65% | 4 | -1 |
| Long is the preferred trading strategy with 60% chance of being right. Both trend sentiment and hourly trend are very strong. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| 2026-01-02 17:01:45 Articles discuss key trading signals such as power inflow alerts, which are closely monitored by traders indicating favorable market conditions for TSM. |
| 2026-01-02 17:01:45 The recent U.S. export approval for TSMC's China plant is seen as a crucial factor in shaping operational capabilities and market positioning. |
| 2026-01-02 17:01:45 Discussions around Taiwan Semiconductor's role in the AI industry signal a promising growth trajectory, with projections for significant revenue increases. |
| 2026-01-02 17:01:45 Several reports detail changes in major funds' holdings in Taiwan Semiconductor, indicating a cautious approach by investors despite the company's positive outlook. |
| 2026-01-02 17:01:45 Multiple articles highlight positive performance trends in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company stock, with gains following specific trading signals and export approvals. |
| 2026-01-02 09:35:22 Following the approval, TSMC's stock has risen, indicating investor confidence and a positive outlook for the company's financial health. |
| 2026-01-02 09:35:22 The acquisition of the export license by TSMC underscores its critical role in the AI chip supply market, suggesting an upward trend in demand for these products. |
| 2026-01-02 09:35:22 The approval of the U.S. export license significantly enhances TSMC's ability to operate and expands their manufacturing capacity in China, positively affecting their stock. |