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| Recent advancements in chip production, particularly the initiation of mass production for 2nm chips, underscore significant technological progress within the semiconductor sector. This capability not only reflects Taiwan Semiconductor's innovative prowess but also its agility in addressing the surging demand driven by artificial intelligence. Additionally, ongoing improvements in foundry processes and production timelines reinforce this momentum, ensuring the company maintains a competitive edge. However, the fast-paced nature of technological change requires continual investment and adaptation to remain viable. |
| The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 2.1 is extremely bullish. The market sentiment at 1.2 is very bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.TSM is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1.2, and the negative at 0 on 2026-01-04. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (3.3), Stock Price Trend (2.1), Sector Price Trend (1.4), Valuation Sentiment (0.6), Market Risk Appetite (0.4), Option Sentiment (0), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| TSM | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 0%(0.3%) | 2.1 | 0.53% | 1.2 | 3.3 | -1 | |||||||
| 2026-01-03 | 0%(0.3%) | 2.1 | 0.29% | 1 | 3.2 | -1 | |||||||
| 2026-01-02 | 1%(0.3%) | 319.68 | 110 | 5.18% | 1.46% | 2.1 | 0.29% | 2.3% | 0.8 | Long | 60% | 2.8 | 7 |
| 2026-01-01 | 1%(0.1%) | 0.7 | 0.03% | 0.8 | 3.1 | 4 | |||||||
| 2025-12-31 | 0%(0%) | 303.92 | 75 | 1.38% | 0.58% | 0.7 | 0.03% | 0.8% | 0.7 | Long | 65% | 3.1 | 6.5 |
| 2025-12-30 | 0%(0%) | 299.77 | 64 | -0.43% | 0.41% | 0.5 | 0% | 0.4% | 0.5 | Wait | 50% | 2.8 | 6 |
| 2025-12-29 | 0%(0%) | 301.06 | 70 | -0.62% | 0.31% | 0.9 | 0.03% | 0.5% | 0.9 | Long | 65% | 3.7 | -1 |
| 2025-12-28 | 0%(0%) | 0.9 | 0.1% | 0.7 | 4 | -1 | |||||||
| 2025-12-27 | 0%(0%) | 0.9 | 0.1% | 0.7 | 4.1 | -1 | |||||||
| 2025-12-26 | 0%(0%) | 302.94 | 78 | 1.39% | -0.07% | 0.9 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7 | Long | 65% | 4.5 | -1 |
| Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| 2026-01-04 17:01:31 Discussion on policy-driven headlines affecting companies like Symbotic emphasizes the importance of regulatory environments on stock performance. |
| 2026-01-04 17:01:31 The articles suggest that TSM may be undervalued relative to its growth prospects, attracting potential investors looking for mispriced stocks. |
| 2026-01-04 17:01:31 The emphasis on advancements in foundry capabilities and production timelines, particularly with 2nm technology, showcases ongoing innovation. |
| 2026-01-04 17:01:31 TSMC's growing market share and revenue potential signal a trend of increasing dominance in the semiconductor industry. |
| 2026-01-04 17:01:31 The articles highlight strong recent stock performances, particularly for TSMC and FTAI, indicating positive investor sentiment and market confidence. |