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| Recent advancements in chip production, particularly with the initiation of mass production for 2nm chips, demonstrate significant technological progress that caters to the rising demand for AI applications. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is focusing on enhancing its foundry capabilities and optimizing production timelines, reflecting a commitment to innovation. However, the rapid pace of technological evolution also presents challenges in keeping up with competitive pressures and market expectations. |
| The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 2 is very bullish. The market sentiment at 1.5 is very bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.TSM is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1.7, and the negative at -0.2 on 2026-01-05. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (3.4), Valuation Sentiment (2.9), Stock Price Trend (2), Sector Price Trend (1.4), and Market Risk Appetite (0.9) will drive up the price. The forces of Option Sentiment (-0.3), and Price Level Sentiment (-1) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| TSM | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | 1%(0.4%) | 322.26 | 104 | 0.81% | 1.27% | 2 | 0.25% | 2.4% | 1.4 | Long | 60% | 3.4 | 6.8 |
| 2026-01-04 | 0%(0.3%) | 2.1 | 0.53% | 1.2 | 3.3 | -1 | |||||||
| 2026-01-03 | 0%(0.3%) | 2.1 | 0.29% | 1 | 3.2 | -1 | |||||||
| 2026-01-02 | 1%(0.3%) | 319.68 | 110 | 5.18% | 1.46% | 2.1 | 0.29% | 2.3% | 0.8 | Long | 60% | 2.8 | 7 |
| 2026-01-01 | 1%(0.1%) | 0.7 | 0.03% | 0.8 | 3.1 | 4 | |||||||
| 2025-12-31 | 0%(0%) | 303.92 | 75 | 1.38% | 0.58% | 0.7 | 0.03% | 0.8% | 0.7 | Long | 65% | 3.1 | 6.5 |
| 2025-12-30 | 0%(0%) | 299.77 | 64 | -0.43% | 0.41% | 0.5 | 0% | 0.4% | 0.5 | Wait | 50% | 2.8 | 6 |
| 2025-12-29 | 0%(0%) | 301.06 | 70 | -0.62% | 0.31% | 0.9 | 0.03% | 0.5% | 0.9 | Long | 65% | 3.7 | -1 |
| 2025-12-28 | 0%(0%) | 0.9 | 0.1% | 0.7 | 4 | -1 | |||||||
| 2025-12-27 | 0%(0%) | 0.9 | 0.1% | 0.7 | 4.1 | -1 | |||||||
| Long is the preferred trading strategy with 60% chance of being right. Both trend sentiment and hourly trend are very strong. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| 2026-01-05 17:01:41 Significant investments in TSMC and the semiconductor industry show investor confidence amidst rising demand for technology. |
| 2026-01-05 17:01:41 Legal issues surrounding trade secret theft threaten TSMC's competitive edge and implicate broader industry concerns. |
| 2026-01-05 17:01:41 Concerns around geopolitical situations, particularly in Venezuela, pose risks to the market and contribute to fluctuations in stock performance. |
| 2026-01-05 17:01:41 Positive analyst sentiments and upgrades regarding TSMC's stock performance have contributed to its rising valuation. |
| 2026-01-05 17:01:41 TSMC's stock has seen significant gains and optimism due to demand for AI technologies and overall market rally. |
| 2026-01-05 13:49:07 The increase in TSMC's price target indicates confidence in the stock's future performance. |
| 2026-01-05 13:49:07 Goldman Sachs has given a positive rating for TSMC stock, suggesting potential for growth. |
| 2026-01-05 11:49:29 The mention of the AI trade indicates a significant trend in technology investment, particularly regarding semiconductor demand. |
| 2026-01-05 11:49:29 Goldman Sachs' stock price target for Taiwan Semiconductor reflects confident analyst forecasts that suggest continued growth in the chip sector. |
| 2026-01-05 11:49:29 Analysts have a bullish sentiment towards Taiwan Semiconductor, indicating strong potential for further gains in stock value. |
| 2026-01-05 09:34:43 Taiwan Semiconductor obtaining a US export license for operations in China, which positively influences its market positioning. |
| 2026-01-05 09:34:43 The rise in Taiwan Semiconductor's stock price due to favorable market conditions and company developments. |
| 2026-01-05 09:34:43 The growing demand for AI technologies significantly boosting the semiconductor industry, particularly companies like Taiwan Semiconductor. |