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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Tue. Jan 6, 2026

The semiconductor industry is experiencing significant advancements, particularly with Taiwan Semiconductor's initiation of mass production of 2nm chips, which reflects its ability to meet the increasing demand driven by AI technologies. Innovations in foundry capabilities enhance production efficiency and timelines, marking a crucial step towards maintaining competitive edge in the market. However, these advancements come with challenges that may impact production consistency and supply chain reliability. Overall, the focus on cutting-edge technology positions the company favorably for future growth.

The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 2.6 is extremely bullish. The market sentiment at 1.8 is very bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.TSM is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 2, and the negative at -0.2 on 2026-01-06. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (4.2), Valuation Sentiment (2.9), Stock Price Trend (2.6), Sector Price Trend (2.2), and Market Risk Appetite (1) will drive up the price. The forces of Option Sentiment (-0.3), and Price Level Sentiment (-1) will drive down the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

Earning Release: 2026-01-15 06:30, EPS: $9.68, P/E: 33.82

TSM
DateAttentionPricePrice
Level
ChangeSMA10
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2026-01-060%(0.4%)      327.39 104    1.59%    1.25%    2.6    0.15%    1%    1.8    Long    60%    4.2    -1   
2026-01-051%(0.4%)      322.26 104    0.81%    1.27%    2    0.25%    2.4%    1.4    Long    60%    3.4    6.8   
2026-01-040%(0.3%)    2.1    0.53%    1.2          3.3    -1   
2026-01-030%(0.3%)    2.1    0.29%    1          3.2    -1   
2026-01-021%(0.3%)      319.68 110    5.18%    1.46%    2.1    0.29%    2.3%    0.8    Long    60%    2.8    7   
2026-01-011%(0.1%)    0.7    0.03%    0.8          3.1    4   
2025-12-310%(0%)      303.92 75    1.38%    0.58%    0.7    0.03%    0.8%    0.7    Long    65%    3.1    6.5   
2025-12-300%(0%)      299.77 64    -0.43%    0.41%    0.5    0%    0.4%    0.5    Wait    50%    2.8    6   
2025-12-290%(0%)      301.06 70    -0.62%    0.31%    0.9    0.03%    0.5%    0.9    Long    65%    3.7    -1   
2025-12-280%(0%)    0.9    0.1%    0.7          4    -1   
 
Long is the preferred trading strategy with 60% chance of being right. Both trend sentiment and hourly trend are very strong.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

2026-01-06 17:01:39 The recent acquisition of a U.S. export license indicates that regulatory factors can significantly affect Taiwan Semiconductor's operations and stock outlook.
2026-01-06 17:01:39 Forecasted earnings and revenue growth for Taiwan Semiconductor appear robust, drawing attention to its role in the semiconductor market.
2026-01-06 17:01:39 Multiple articles report a consensus 'Buy' rating from analysts, highlighting strong positive sentiment in expert evaluations of Taiwan Semiconductor.
2026-01-06 17:01:39 Investors are actively purchasing shares in Taiwan Semiconductor, reflecting growth in investor interest and confidence in the company.
2026-01-06 17:01:39 The articles show a consistent positive trend in the stock price of Taiwan Semiconductor, indicating investor confidence and market support.


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