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Sector: Semiconductors
| The semiconductor manufacturing landscape is experiencing significant growth, driven by a shift towards next-generation technologies and extensive expansions in production capabilities. TSMC's notable investments, notably in the U.S., highlight a strong commitment to innovation and the optimization of manufacturing processes to meet future demands. This forward-thinking approach positions TSMC to capitalize on emerging market opportunities while maintaining a competitive edge. However, the industry faces challenges in scaling production efficiently amid a rapidly evolving technological environment. |
| The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.7 is bullish. The market sentiment at 1 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. TSM is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1.5, and the negative at -0.5 on 2026-01-23. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (5.1), Valuation Sentiment (2.3), Sector Price Trend (1.7), and Stock Price Trend (0.7) will drive up the price. The forces of Option Sentiment (-0.3), Price Level Sentiment (-0.5), and Market Risk Appetite (-2.4) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
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| TSM | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | StdDev | Price Level | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend Sentiment | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | 0%(0.1%) | 334.86 | 3.93% | 76 | 2.29% | 0.52% | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.8% | 1 | Long | 55% | 5.1 | 5 |
| 2026-01-22 | 0%(0.3%) | 327.37 | 4.21% | 64 | 0.37% | 0.24% | 0.7 | -0.5 | 0.7% | 0.9 | Wait | 50% | 5.1 | 7 |
| 2026-01-21 | 0%(0.9%) | 326.18 | 4.53% | 64 | -0.31% | -0.03% | 0.3 | -0.6 | 1.7% | 1 | Short | 55% | 5.5 | -1 |
| 2026-01-20 | 0%(0.9%) | 327.19 | 4.85% | 68 | -4.45% | 0.15% | 0.6 | -0.9 | 2.1% | 0.9 | Wait | 50% | 5.4 | 7 |
| 2026-01-19 | 0%(0.9%) | 3 | -0.9 | 2.1 | 5.3 | -1 | ||||||||
| 2026-01-18 | 1%(0.9%) | 3 | -0.9 | 2 | 4.9 | 7 | ||||||||
| 2026-01-17 | 0%(0.7%) | 3 | -0.9 | 2 | 4.8 | -1 | ||||||||
| 2026-01-16 | 1%(0.7%) | 342.44 | 4.97% | 92 | 0.2% | 0.71% | 3 | 0.1 | 2.2% | 1.8 | Long | 55% | 4.8 | 5.7 |
| 2026-01-15 | 4%(0.6%) | 341.76 | 5.11% | 95 | 4.47% | 1.18% | 3.5 | 0.1 | 2.5% | 1.8 | Long | 70% | 4.6 | 5.8 |
| 2026-01-14 | 0%(0%) | 327.15 | 5.08% | 79 | -1.17% | 0.84% | 2 | -0.1 | 0.9% | 1.7 | Long | 65% | 3.5 | 6.5 |
| Long is the preferred trading strategy with 55% chance of being right. Improving trend sentiment and positive hourly trend. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | ||||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | ||||||||||||||
| 2026-01-23 17:01:43 The competitive landscape between Intel and TSMC sheds light on the evolving dynamics of the semiconductor industry and their impact on market shares. |
| 2026-01-23 17:01:43 The stock performance of TSMC reflects its investor confidence and market positioning, with considerations regarding valuation compared to peers. |
| 2026-01-23 17:01:43 TSMC's raised capital expenditure forecasts indicate strong revenue growth potential driven by the AI infrastructure demand. |
| 2026-01-23 17:01:43 Taiwan Semiconductor's position as a key supplier and its operational efficiencies provide a significant competitive advantage in the semiconductor market. |
| 2026-01-23 17:01:43 The ongoing demand for AI chips and advanced processing technologies indicates a strong upward trend in the semiconductor industry, particularly fueled by the AI boom. |
| 2026-01-23 09:35:49 The decision to reduce mature-node capacity reflects a shift in industry trends towards more advanced manufacturing processes, which may impact market dynamics. |
| 2026-01-23 09:35:49 The focus on optimizing production for high-growth technologies indicates a strong commitment to innovation and modernization in semiconductor manufacturing. |