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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Fri. Feb 13, 2026

One Week Return: 5.01%, One Month Return: 10.67%, Three Month Return: 29.82%

Sector: Semiconductors

The semiconductor industry is experiencing significant progress driven by technological advancements, with TSMC playing a pivotal role in developing state-of-the-art chips. Additionally, the shift towards AI technology marks a critical transition in product development strategies, reflecting an increasing focus on these emerging applications. This dynamic landscape presents both opportunities and challenges as companies adapt to fast-evolving technological needs. TSMC's ability to innovate while navigating this transition will be crucial for maintaining its competitive edge.

The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 2.4 is extremely bullish. The market sentiment at 0.3 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. TSM is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1.3, and the negative at -1 on 2026-02-13. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (4), Stock Price Trend (2.4), Sector Price Trend (0.9), and Valuation Sentiment (0.7) will drive up the price. The forces of Option Sentiment (-0.3), Price Level Sentiment (-0.5), and Market Risk Appetite (-4.9) will drive down the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

Earning Release: 2026-04-15 10:00, EPS: $10.34, P/E: 35.43

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TSM
DateAttentionPriceStdDevPrice
Level
Change10 Day
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2026-02-130%(0%)      366.34 4.01%    91    -0.45%    1.01% 2.4    -0.3    1%    0.3    Wait    50% 4    8   
2026-02-120%(0%)      368 3.7%    99    -1.66%    0.87% 3.6    0    1.4%    0.8    Long    70% 4.2    -1   
2026-02-110%(0%)      374.21 3.34%    120    3.42%    0.94% 4.4    0.6    2.1%    0.4    Long    70% 4.4    7   
2026-02-100%(0%)      361.84 2.66%    114    1.86%    0.68% 2.7    0.4    1.3%    -0    Long    70% 4.1    7   
2026-02-090%(0%)      355.23 2.2%    113    1.83%    0.68% 2    0.4    2.6%    0.2    Long    70% 4    -1   
2026-02-080%(0%)    2    0.4    -0.1          4.4    -1   
2026-02-070%(0%)    2    0.4    -0.3          4.5    -1   
2026-02-060%(0%)      348.85 1.95%    105    5.46%    0.42% 2    1.2    2.8%    -0.5    Long    70% 4.5    -1   
2026-02-050%(0%)      330.8 2.04%    44    1.55%    0.09% -0.2    0    1.3%    -1    Long    55% 4.5    7   
2026-02-040%(0%)      325.74 2.26%    29    -3.02%    0% -1    -0.4    2.2%    -0.9    Short    55% 4.2    7   
 
Wait is the preferred trading strategy with 50% chance of being right.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

2026-02-13 17:01:34 Changes in regulations affecting the semiconductor industry could have ramifications for TSM's stock performance.
2026-02-13 17:01:34 TSM's stock performance may also be influenced by its investments and collaborations with other tech companies.
2026-02-13 17:01:34 The performance of TSM often reflects the effectiveness of its leadership and strategy in navigating market conditions.
2026-02-13 17:01:34 As TSM operates in a competitive semiconductor industry, understanding its stock performance relates to market positioning.
2026-02-13 17:01:34 The article discusses the slight decline in stock price for TSM, indicating cautious investor sentiment.
2026-02-13 15:47:53 The stock price of Taiwan Semiconductor is near record highs, driven by robust revenue and strong market demand.
2026-02-13 15:47:53 Taiwan Semiconductor has reported outstanding earnings growth, exceeding expectations, which reflects positively on its financial health and market position.
2026-02-13 15:47:53 Major investments by tech giants in AI infrastructure indicate a strong trend towards innovation and development in this space, positively impacting stakeholders.
2026-02-13 15:47:53 The surge in demand for AI technologies is significantly influencing the market, particularly benefiting companies like Taiwan Semiconductor who are adjusting production strategies.


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