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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Wed. May 13, 2026

One Week Return: -4.72%, One Month Return: 8.13%, Three Month Return: 9.12%

Sector: Semiconductors

Recent advancements in semiconductor technology, highlighted by the joint venture between TSMC and Sony, showcase innovation in next-generation image sensors. This cooperation reflects a strong commitment to enhancing product development capabilities in the semiconductor industry. As a result, there is a growing optimism around the potential for cutting-edge products that leverage these technological advances. Overall, this trend indicates a positive outlook for ongoing developments in this dynamic market sector.

The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.5 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at -0.1 is modestly bearish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. TSM is likely to move down since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.5, and the negative at -0.6 on 2026-05-13. The forces of Valuation Sentiment (-2.5), Stock Price Trend (-0.5), and Option Sentiment (-0.3) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0), Market Risk Appetite (0), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (1.1), and Sector Price Trend (3.8) will drive up the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

Earning Release: 2026-07-16 06:00, EPS: $11.73, P/E: 34.08

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TSM
DateAttentionPriceStdDevPrice
Level
Change10 Day
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2026-05-130%(0%)      399.76 3.91%    60    0.63%    0.15% -0.5    0.2    1.3%    -0.1    Wait    50% 1.1    -7   
2026-05-120%(0%)      397.27 4.04%    58    -1.74%    0.12% 0.5    0.1    1.7%    0.6    Long    55% 2.6    -1   
2026-05-110%(0%)      404.31 4.01%    70    -1.75%    -0.02% 0.5    -0.3    1%    1    Wait    50% 2.8    -1   
2026-05-100%(0%)    1.4    -0.3    1.3          3    -1   
2026-05-090%(0%)    1.4    -0.3    1.5          3.3    -1   
2026-05-080%(0%)      411.51 4.03%    83    -0.65%    0.22% 1.4    -0.2    0.8%    1.3    Wait    50% 3.1    -6   
2026-05-070%(0%)      414.21 3.93%    91    -1.28%    0.8% 2.3    -0    2%    1.5    Long    55% 4    -1   
2026-05-060%(0%)      419.56 3.75%    105    6.38%    0.81% 2.8    0.9    2.2%    1.9    Long    70% 3.9    7   
2026-05-050%(0%)      394.38 3.58%    71    -1.8%    0.66% 1.4    -0.1    0.8%    1.4    Wait    50% 3.8    -1   
2026-05-040%(0%)      401.6 3.97%    84    0.99%    0.93% 1.5    0.4    0.7%    1.2    Long    65% 3.5    3   
 
Wait is the preferred trading strategy with 50% chance of being right.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

  Analysis
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM): The Foundry Powerhouse Driving the Global AI Boom Sun. Mar 1, 2026

2026-05-13 17:01:06 Earnings reports indicate mixed results for companies in the semiconductor sector, affecting investor sentiment.
2026-05-13 17:01:06 There is an ongoing trend of market growth and expansion, particularly in semiconductor companies aiming for high valuations.
2026-05-13 17:01:06 Investments by various companies in the semiconductor sector suggest a positive outlook for new technologies.
2026-05-13 17:01:06 The competitive landscape of the semiconductor industry is discussed, highlighting struggles between major players.
2026-05-13 17:01:06 Several articles highlight fluctuations in stock prices of semiconductor companies, indicating volatility in this sector.
2026-05-13 09:35:00 Asian chipmakers are proactively preparing measures to mitigate disruptions caused by geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East.
2026-05-13 09:35:00 The impact of the Hormuz blockade on the supply chains of Asian chipmakers is significant, leading to disruptions in obtaining essential commodities.


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