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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Mon. Jul 20, 2026

One Week Return: -4.52%, One Month Return: -12.87%, Three Month Return: 9.9%

Sector: Semiconductors

Taiwan Semiconductor's significant expansion initiatives, particularly into the U.S., are positioned to enhance job creation and stimulate local economies, highlighting the benefits of high-tech manufacturing investments. This move not only seeks to bolster domestic operations but also aims to address the growing demand for semiconductors, thereby reinforcing the supply chain. However, challenges such as geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions could potentially impact operational efficiency and project timelines.

The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -2.4 is extremely bearish. The market sentiment at 0.3 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. There is no clear direction for TSM since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1.2, and the negative at -0.9 on 2026-07-20. The forces of Sector Price Trend (-2.7), Stock Price Trend (-2.4), Valuation Sentiment (-1.1), and Option Sentiment (-0.3) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0.5), Market Risk Appetite (1.8), and Sentiment towards Fundamentals (4.8) will drive up the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

Earning Release: 2026-10-15 06:00, EPS: $12, P/E: 33.54

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TSM
DateAttentionPriceStdDevPrice
Level
RSIHourly
RSI
Change10 Day
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2026-07-200%(0.4%)      402.54 4.75%    8    32   54   1.08%    -1.15% -2.4    -0.1    1.1%    0.3    Short    55% 4.8    -1   
2026-07-191%(0.6%)    -2.2    -0.1    0.1          4.9    6.5   
2026-07-180%(0.4%)    -2.2    -0.1    0.1          4.9    -1   
2026-07-170%(0.4%)      398.23 4.66%    -3    40   35   -2.88%    -0.86% -2.2    -0.3    2.1%    0.2    Short    70% 4.6    8   
2026-07-162%(0.4%)      410.06 3.98%    6    42   38   -2.29%    -0.78% -1.7    -0.4    1.6%    0.3    Short    55% 4.3    4.7   
2026-07-150%(0.1%)      419.67 3.63%    17    43   46   -0.23%    -1.3% -2    -0.2    0.8%    0.5    Short    65% 4    4   
2026-07-140%(0.1%)      420.65 3.45%    15    45   31   -0.23%    -0.79% -1.1    -0.4    1.5%    0.8    Short    55% 3.5    6   
2026-07-131%(0.1%)      421.6 3.39%    16    38   27   -2.89%    -0.23% -0.9    -1    1.4%    0.5    Short    55% 3.3    5.3   
2026-07-120%(0%)    0.3    -1    1.3          3.3    -1   
2026-07-110%(0%)    0.3    -1    1.3          3.3    -1   
 
Short is the preferred trading strategy with 55% chance of being right. Weak trend sentiment and negative hourly trend.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

  Analysis
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM): The Foundry Powerhouse Driving the Global AI Boom Sun. Mar 1, 2026
  Market News
 
1 (8) TSMC is accelerating Arizona factory buildout to capitalize on AI 'megatrend,' CFO says Speaking in an interview with CNBC, TSMC's Wendell Huang said the fresh investment comes on the back of robust customer demand. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Sun. Jul 19, 2026
2 (7) TSMC expects 'strong, multi-year' demand for AI chips as it ramps up Arizona investment TSMC is seeing strong, multi-year demand for its AI chips as it invests a further $100 billion to expand its Arizona facilities, but it needs to address several challenges, such as a shortage of construction workers there, a top ‌executive said. Speaking after blockbuster second-quarter results on Thursday, Chief Financial Officer Wendell Huang said the company is "very happy" with progress in Arizona, which is ‌why it decided to ramp up investment to $265 billion. "We continue to see customers' strong demand — ​multi-year structural demand." (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Sun. Jul 19, 2026


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