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| Recent events have highlighted a mix of turmoil and resilience within the total stock market, influenced by tariff news, political uncertainties, and technology developments. Despite facing significant volatility, particularly in sectors like technology and banking, there has been a notable rebound in software stocks and a continued interest in new IPOs. Overall, market discussions reflect a shift toward equity investments from cryptocurrencies, showcasing an evolving landscape. The performance of major U.S. stocks continues to play a pivotal role in shaping market sentiment. The price action of U.S. Equities (VTI) asset class is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to asset-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.1 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at 0.2 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for VTI since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.2, and the negative at -0 on 2026-03-01. The forces of Asset Sentiment (0.9), Option Sentiment (0), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of and Asset Price Trend (-0.1) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Asset Price Trend is calculated based on VTI trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Asset Sentiment scores are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| VTI | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | StdDev | Price Level | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend Sentiment | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Asset Sentiment | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | 2%(2%) | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | -5.6 | |||||||||
| 2026-02-28 | 0%(1.9%) | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 6 | |||||||||
| 2026-02-27 | 1%(1.9%) | 338.87 | 0.68% | 45 | -0.48% | 0.09% | -0.1 | -0.1 | 0.5% | 0.5 | Short | 55% | 0.9 | -4.3 |
| 2026-02-26 | 2%(2.4%) | 340.52 | 0.7% | 61 | -0.39% | -0.03% | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3% | 0.6 | Long | 55% | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| 2026-02-25 | 3%(2.3%) | 341.87 | 0.73% | 73 | 0.79% | 0% | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6% | 0.5 | Long | 55% | 0.7 | 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | 4%(2.1%) | 339.18 | 0.76% | 45 | 0.81% | -0.12% | 0 | 0.2 | 0.4% | 0.5 | Long | 55% | 0.8 | 2.8 |
| 2026-02-23 | 2%(2%) | 336.47 | 0.78% | 18 | -1.12% | -0.12% | -0.2 | -0.2 | 0.4% | 0.5 | Short | 55% | 0.6 | -3.8 |
| 2026-02-22 | 1%(1.9%) | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1 | -5.5 | |||||||||
| 2026-02-21 | 0%(1.7%) | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.4 | -3 | |||||||||
| 2026-02-20 | 5%(2.1%) | 340.29 | 0.74% | 53 | 0.62% | 0.18% | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3% | 0.8 | Long | 55% | 1.7 | 2.6 |
| Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | ||||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | ||||||||||||||
| Market News | ||
| 1 (-5) US gasoline prices to rise after attack on Iran, analysts warn By Shariq Khan and Jarrett Renshaw NEW YORK, March 1 (Reuters) - U.S. average retail gasoline prices are set to break above $3 a gallon on Monday for the first time in more than three months as the (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Sun. Mar 1, 2026 | ||
| 2 (-6) Dollar Surges as Traders Brace for War Impact The US dollar surged and the Swiss franc edged higher against major peers in early trading, while the Australian dollar and South African rand led risk-sensitive currencies lower. Benchmark equity indexes in Saudi Arabia and Egypt each slid more than 2% in Sunday trading, while Bitcoin, which trades around the clock, was down about 2% as of 4 p.m. in New York. Futures on US stocks, Treasuries, oil and gold are set to begin trading at 6 p.m. New York time, offering the first broad gauge of investor sentiment. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Sun. Mar 1, 2026 | ||
| 3 (-6) Iran attack live: What it means for stocks, oil, gas prices and the U.S. economy Oil futures are expected to spike and U.S. stock futures are likely to see volatile trading Sunday night as markets open after this weekend's attacks on Iran by the U.S. and Israel. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Sun. Mar 1, 2026 | ||
| 4 (-4) Stocks face Iran jitters and a crucial jobs report in the week ahead “You’ve got this somewhat dystopian narrative permeating the psychology of the market” with respect to AI and jobs, asset-management firm’s CIO says. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Sun. Mar 1, 2026 | ||
| 5 (-7) Crypto Loses Its Grip on Retail Army Now Defecting to Equities Now they’re moving on, stalling the demand engine that digital assets have depended on for a decade. Speculative demand that once concentrated in crypto is being sucked into stocks, according to a new report from market-maker Wintermute that draws on JPMorgan Chase & Co. data. Since late 2024, retail has been steadily shifting toward equities, a trend that accelerated sharply after the October crypto crash, according to the report. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Sun. Mar 1, 2026 | ||
| 6 (6) Opinion: U.S. strikes on Iran will likely boost defense stocks. Here’s what will keep the cash flowing even after the conflict ends. A massive backlog of maintenance and software contracts will ensure recurring revenue. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Sat. Feb 28, 2026 | ||
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