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International Equities (VXUS) Price Prediction and News Highlight
Wed. Jun 26, 2024

One Week Return: -1.31%, One Month Return: -2.43%, Three Month Return: 0.25%

Recent events indicate a challenging environment for international equities, particularly affected by illegal activities such as cocaine trafficking. This trade undermines law and order in numerous regions, contributing to a negative sentiment that impacts investor confidence. The ongoing issues related to such illicit commerce create uncertainty in the markets, which can deter foreign investment and economic stability. As a result, the overall outlook remains cautious as stakeholders navigate the implications of these socio-economic factors.

The price action of International Equities (VXUS) asset class is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to asset-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.7 is bearish. The market sentiment at -1.2 is very bearish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.VXUS is likely to move down since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.5, and the negative at -1.7 on 2024-06-26. The forces of Asset Sentiment (-6), and Asset Price Trend (-0.7) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0.5), and Option Sentiment (1.5) will drive up the price.

The sentiment for Asset Price Trend is calculated based on VXUS trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Asset Sentiment scores are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.


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VXUS
DateAttentionPriceStdDevPrice
Level
Change10 Day
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPAsset
Sentiment
News
Sentiment
2024-06-260%(0%)      60.14 0.8% 10    -0.6%    -0.16% -0.7    0    0% -1.2    Short    55% -6    0   
2024-04-080%(0%)    0    1          2    0   
2024-03-280%(0%)    0    1          2    0   
2024-03-140%(0%)    0    1          2    0   
2024-03-020%(0%)    0    1          2    0   
2023-12-070%(0%)    0    1          2    0   
2023-12-060%(0%)    0    0.3          -1    0   
2023-11-010%(0%)    0    0.5          -0.3    0   
2023-10-260%(0%)    0    0.3          -1    0   
2023-10-110%(0%)    0    0.3          -0.8    0   
 
Short is the preferred trading strategy with 55% chance of being right. Weak trend sentiment and negative hourly trend.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.


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