Financials Sector: News Highlight, Sentiment and Fundamentals

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Financials Sector: News Highlight, Sentiment and Fundamentals
Thu. Oct 2, 2025

The price action of Financials (XLF) sector is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to company-specific performance and market structure. The overall sentiment for Financials sector is very positive (overall 2.8, positive 3.3, negative -0.5) on 20251002. The forces of Price Level (2), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (1.9), Option Speculation (1.5), Broad Market Trend (0.6), Sector Price Trend (0.5), and Valuation Sentiment (-1) will drive up the price. The forces of and Market Risk Prefrence (0) will drive down the price.
'Buy the dips' is the preferred trading strategy. Hourly SMA 20 trend line is likely to provide a support from any pullbacks. The swing to upside will be significant considering the high positive sentiment forces (3.3). The extreme bullish overall sentiment (2.8) may signal the top of this uptrend.
The sentiment for Broad Market Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on XLF trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Prefrence is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale.

Date Attention Average
Attention Price Price
Level Change SMA10
Trend Market
Sentiment Trend
Sentiment Fundamentals News
Sentiment
2025-10-02 2%      1%      53.35      25      -0.06%      0%      1.9      0      1.9      -2.2

2025-10-01 0%      0.7%      53.38      27      -0.91%      -0.19%      0.9      -0.2      1.7      0

2025-09-30 1%      0.7%      53.87      62      -0.45%      0%      1.4      0      1.7      4.5

2025-09-29 2%      0.6%      54.12      80      0.49%      0.19%      0.2      0.2      0.5      5.4

2025-09-28 1%      0.3%      -0.2      -0.1      0.1      7

2025-09-27 0%      0.4%      -0.1      -0.1      0.2      0

2025-09-26 1%      0.6%      53.85      61      0.69%      0%      -0.3      -0.1      -0.2      4

2025-09-25 0%      0.4%      53.48      34      -0.24%      -0.19%      -0.5      -0.2      -0.4      0.5

2025-09-24 0%      0.4%      53.61      43      -0.26%      0.19%      -0      -0.3      -0.1      0

2025-09-23 0%      0.4%      53.75      54      -0.44%      0%      0.5      0      0.6      7

Both emotion scores and sentiment scores are calculated in a -10 - +10 scale.
The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

Date	Attention	Average Attention	Price	Price Level	Change	SMA10 Trend	Market Sentiment	Trend Sentiment	Fundamentals	News Sentiment
2025-10-02	2%	1%	53.35	25	-0.06%	0%	1.9	0	1.9	-2.2
2025-10-01	0%	0.7%	53.38	27	-0.91%	-0.19%	0.9	-0.2	1.7	0
2025-09-30	1%	0.7%	53.87	62	-0.45%	0%	1.4	0	1.7	4.5
2025-09-29	2%	0.6%	54.12	80	0.49%	0.19%	0.2	0.2	0.5	5.4
2025-09-28	1%	0.3%					-0.2	-0.1	0.1	7
2025-09-27	0%	0.4%					-0.1	-0.1	0.2	0
2025-09-26	1%	0.6%	53.85	61	0.69%	0%	-0.3	-0.1	-0.2	4
2025-09-25	0%	0.4%	53.48	34	-0.24%	-0.19%	-0.5	-0.2	-0.4	0.5
2025-09-24	0%	0.4%	53.61	43	-0.26%	0.19%	-0	-0.3	-0.1	0
2025-09-23	0%	0.4%	53.75	54	-0.44%	0%	0.5	0	0.6	7

	Both emotion scores and sentiment scores are calculated in a -10 - +10 scale.
	The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.


1 (-8) UK Man Pleading Guilty to $100 Million Wine Fraud in New York A British man will plead guilty to US charges that he swindled nearly $100 million from investors by claiming that he held a collection of extremely rare and valuable wines. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Thu. Oct 2, 2025
2 (-3) EU Nations Need Unity on Savings Union Plan, Commissioner Says The European Union’s progress toward a multitrillion euro savings and investment union is being hampered by member states defending their own national interests, the bloc’s financial services chief said Thursday evening. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Thu. Oct 2, 2025
3 (-4) US Bank Reserves Decline Further Below Key $3 Trillion Mark The US banking system’s reserves, a key factor in the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep shrinking its balance sheet, tumbled for the eighth straight week to a new mark below $3 trillion. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Thu. Oct 2, 2025
4 (-2) Average long-term US mortgage rate ticks up for second straight week, to 6.34% The average long-term mortgage rate rose this week to 6.34% from 6.3% last week, mortgage buyer Freddie Mac said Thursday. Mortgage rates are influenced by several factors, from the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy decisions to bond market investors’ expectations for the economy and inflation. In late July, mortgage rates started declining in the lead-up to the Federal Reserve’s widely anticipated decision last month to cut its main interest rate for the first time in a year amid growing concern over the U.S. job market. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Thu. Oct 2, 2025
5 (-2) How will the government shutdown impact mortgage rates? Experts weigh in. The government shutdown affects mortgage rates, both during the shutdown and after. Learn about what rates are doing and whether you should lock in a rate now. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Thu. Oct 2, 2025

6 (6) FICO to Directly License Credit Scores to Mortgage Resellers Through a new program, mortgage resellers will be able to calculate and distribute credit scores directly to customers, reducing their reliance on credit bureaus. This will bring more price transparency and savings for mortgage lenders, mortgage brokers and other industry participants, FICO said in a statement. Shares of credit-reporting bureaus TransUnion and Equifax Inc. each dropped at least 12% on Thursday. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Thu. Oct 2, 2025