Financials Sector: News Highlight, Sentiment and Fundamentals

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Financials Sector: News Highlight, Sentiment and Fundamentals
Sat. Oct 4, 2025

The price action of Financials (XLF) sector is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to company-specific performance and market structure. The overall sentiment for Financials sector is very positive (overall 2.3, positive 2.9, negative -0.6) on 20251004. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (2.1), Price Level (2), Option Speculation (1.5), Broad Market Trend (0.2), and Sector Price Trend (-0.2) will drive up the price. The forces of Valuation Sentiment (-1), and Market Risk Prefrence (0) will drive down the price.
'Buy the dips' is the preferred trading strategy. Hourly SMA 20 trend line is likely to provide a support from any pullbacks. The swing to upside will be significant considering the high positive sentiment forces (2.9). The extreme bullish overall sentiment (2.3) may signal the top of this uptrend.
The sentiment for Broad Market Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on XLF trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Prefrence is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale.

Date Attention Average
Attention Price Price
Level Change SMA10
Trend Market
Sentiment Trend
Sentiment Fundamentals News
Sentiment
2025-10-04 1%      1.1%      1.8      -0.1      2.1      0.5

2025-10-03 1%      1%      53.74      53      0.72%      -0.19%      1.8      -0.1      2.1      4

2025-10-02 2%      1%      53.35      25      -0.06%      0%      1.9      0      1.9      -2.2

2025-10-01 0%      0.7%      53.38      27      -0.91%      -0.19%      0.9      -0.2      1.7      0

2025-09-30 1%      0.7%      53.87      62      -0.45%      0%      1.4      0      1.7      4.5

2025-09-29 2%      0.6%      54.12      80      0.49%      0.19%      0.2      0.2      0.5      5.4

2025-09-28 1%      0.3%      -0.2      -0.1      0.1      7

2025-09-27 0%      0.4%      -0.1      -0.1      0.2      0

2025-09-26 1%      0.6%      53.85      61      0.69%      0%      -0.3      -0.1      -0.2      4

2025-09-25 0%      0.4%      53.48      34      -0.24%      -0.19%      -0.5      -0.2      -0.4      0.5

Both emotion scores and sentiment scores are calculated in a -10 - +10 scale.
The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

Date	Attention	Average Attention	Price	Price Level	Change	SMA10 Trend	Market Sentiment	Trend Sentiment	Fundamentals	News Sentiment
2025-10-04	1%	1.1%					1.8	-0.1	2.1	0.5
2025-10-03	1%	1%	53.74	53	0.72%	-0.19%	1.8	-0.1	2.1	4
2025-10-02	2%	1%	53.35	25	-0.06%	0%	1.9	0	1.9	-2.2
2025-10-01	0%	0.7%	53.38	27	-0.91%	-0.19%	0.9	-0.2	1.7	0
2025-09-30	1%	0.7%	53.87	62	-0.45%	0%	1.4	0	1.7	4.5
2025-09-29	2%	0.6%	54.12	80	0.49%	0.19%	0.2	0.2	0.5	5.4
2025-09-28	1%	0.3%					-0.2	-0.1	0.1	7
2025-09-27	0%	0.4%					-0.1	-0.1	0.2	0
2025-09-26	1%	0.6%	53.85	61	0.69%	0%	-0.3	-0.1	-0.2	4
2025-09-25	0%	0.4%	53.48	34	-0.24%	-0.19%	-0.5	-0.2	-0.4	0.5

	Both emotion scores and sentiment scores are calculated in a -10 - +10 scale.
	The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.


1 (6) WSL Football bosses hire Goldman to kick off financing review The board of English women's football's top two divisions is bringing in the Wall Street giant Goldman Sachs to examine options to fund the growth of the sport, Sky News can reveal. (https://news.sky.com/money) Sat. Oct 4, 2025
2 (-5) Hong Kong Banks Face Balancing Act on $25 Billion of Bad Loans Bankers and financial institutions have been looking for solutions to fix real estate soured debt (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Sat. Oct 4, 2025
3 (-8) US Services Gauge Falls on Weakest Business Activity Since 2020 The figure was weaker than all estimates in a Bloomberg survey of economists. The business activity index, which is similar to the ISM’s factory output gauge, fell more than five points and into contraction territory for the first time since May 2020. Export orders also fell. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Fri. Oct 3, 2025
4 (6) Walmart-backed fintech OnePay is bringing crypto to its banking app, sources say The move shows that OnePay, founded by Walmart and venture firm Ribbit Capital in 2021, sees crypto as a core offering as it builds out its "everything app." (https://www.cnbc.com/) Fri. Oct 3, 2025
5 (8) Coinbase gets an upgrade from Rothschild on growing crypto adoption in finance Coinbase is poised outperform as cryptocurrencies become more integrated into financial services, according to Rothschild & Co. Redburn. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Fri. Oct 3, 2025

6 (6) Goldman’s Solomon Expects US Economy, Deals to Accelerate Government spending and “all of the AI infrastructure build” means — on balance — the economy was “still in pretty good shape,” the Goldman Sachs Group Inc. CEO said, despite the impact of tariffs and a slower US job market. “There are places where the numbers of jobs, the actual jobs will come down” as a result of technological improvements, he said, while adding that overall headcount at his bank will likely rise over the next ten years. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Fri. Oct 3, 2025
7 (8) ‘A great time to negotiate for lower prices.’ 6 pros on what the housing market – and mortgage rates – will look like for buyers this month Financial and real estate experts say shifting inventory and fluctuating mortgage rates are giving prospective buyers more power to secure favorable prices (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Fri. Oct 3, 2025