Recent discussions have highlighted the importance of consumer staples in promoting portfolio consistency, particularly in the wake of rising grocery prices. Retailers like Kroger are adopting strategies to maintain customer loyalty, while Costco continues to showcase strong sales performance. The sector is also facing challenges related to food inflation and safety concerns, which impact retailers' operations and consumer perception. Collaborations among grocery chains are seen as a potential positive trend in navigating these challenges. The price action of Consumer Staples (XLP) sector is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.7 is bullish. The market sentiment at 1.4 is very bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.XLP is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for Consumer Staples sector is at 1.5, and the negative at -0.1 on 2026-01-09. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (2.9), Valuation Sentiment (2.1), Option Sentiment (1.5), Market Risk Appetite (1.1), Sector Price Trend (0.7), and Broad Market Trend (0.4) will drive up the price. The forces of and Price Level Sentiment (-0.5) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Broad Market Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on XLP trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Prefrence is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

XLP
Date	Attention	Price	Price Level	Change	SMA10 Trend	Trend Sentiment	Hourly Trend	Hourly StdDev	Market Sentiment	Action	P	Fund.	News Sentiment
2026-01-09	0%(0.1%)	79.24	75	1.03%	0.13%	0.7	0.13%	1.1%	1.4	Long	65%	2.9	-0.5
2026-01-08	0%(0.1%)	78.43	54	2.35%	0.13%	0.2	0.13%	0.9%	1.2	Long	65%	2.8	-0.5
2026-01-07	0%(0.1%)	76.63	-2	-1.08%	-0.13%	-0.5	0%	0.4%	1.1	Long	80%	2.4	-6.5
2026-01-06	0%(0.1%)	77.47	18	0.16%	-0.26%	0.7	0%	0.3%	1.5	Long	60%	2.5	-6.5
2026-01-05	0%(0.1%)	77.35	12	-0.46%	-0.26%	0.8	0%	0.4%	1.3	Long	60%	2.2	-0.5
2026-01-04	1%(0.1%)					-0.2	-0.05%		0.8			2.6	4.5
2026-01-03	0%(0.1%)					-0.2	0%		0.6			2.3	-0.5
2026-01-02	0%(0.1%)	77.7	20	0.01%	-0.13%	-0.2	0%	0.3%	1.1	Long	60%	2.4	-0.5
2026-01-01	0%(0.1%)					0.6	0%		1			2.1	-0.5
2025-12-31	0%(0.1%)	77.69	18	-0.6%	-0.25%	0.6	0%	0.2%	1.4	Long	70%	2.3	-0.5
Long is the preferred trading strategy with 65% chance of being right. The trend sentiment plus market sentiment (moving force) is positive, and market sentiment change is positive. The price level is not too high. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.
Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.