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Health Care Sector (XLV) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Tue. Jan 13, 2026

The healthcare sector is experiencing significant growth driven by innovations in medical devices and pharmaceuticals, along with favorable outlooks for healthcare stocks despite the ongoing challenges. Major companies are actively engaged in acquisitions and development of new treatments, particularly in cancer and obesity medications. There is evidence of increased job opportunities and investments, reflecting optimism in the market dynamics. However, challenges like changes in vaccine recommendations and the expiration of drug patents present potential risks to revenue.

The price action of Health Care (XLV) sector is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.4 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at 1.1 is very bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for XLV since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for Health Care sector is at 1.1, and the negative at -0.1 on 2026-01-13. The forces of Valuation Sentiment (2.8), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (2.5), Market Risk Appetite (0.9), Option Sentiment (0.3), Broad Market Trend (0.3), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of and Sector Price Trend (-0.4) will drive down the price.

The sentiment for Broad Market Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on XLV trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Prefrence is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.


XLV
DateAttentionPricePrice
Level
ChangeSMA10
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2026-01-132%(1.7%)      156.71 62    -0.42%    0.06%    -0.4    -0.06%    0.3%    1.1    Short    60%    2.5    4.9   
2026-01-123%(1.6%)      157.37 75    0.06%    0.06%    0.4    -0.06%    0.5%    1.1    Wait    50%    2.8    5.3   
2026-01-114%(1.3%)    0.3    -0.06%   1.3          2.8    3.3   
2026-01-100%(0.9%)    0.3    -0.06%   1.3          2.7    -0.5   
2026-01-091%(1%)      157.28 77    -0.56%    0.06%    0.3    -0.06%    0.5%    1.2    Wait    50%    2.8    4   
2026-01-081%(1%)      158.16 91    -0.94%    0.26%    0.7    0%    0.5%    1.1    Wait    50%    2.9    4.2   
2026-01-071%(1.1%)      159.66 110    1.01%    0.26%    0.7    0.19%    1.1%    1.1    Short    80%    3.1    3.1   
2026-01-061%(1.1%)      158.06 99    1.95%    0.19%    0.4    0.13%    1%    1.3    Long    70%    3.3    2.8   
2026-01-051%(1.1%)      155.03 61    -0.31%    0.06%    -0.2    0%    0.4%    1    Wait    50%    2.8    4.9   
2026-01-041%(1.1%)    0.2    0.05%   0.9          2.5    -4.5   
 
Short is the preferred trading strategy with 60% chance of being right. Both trend sentiment and hourly trend are negative while the price lvel is relatively high.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

  Analysis
Health Care Sector Check-Up: What Analysts Are Saying Right Now Mon. Sep 29, 2025
  Market News
 
1 (8) Revvity Stock Jumps on Profit Outlook Hike. Why the Shares Are at a Crossroads. Revvity stock jumped early Tuesday after the health-sciences company hiked its full-year outlook ahead of earnings early next month. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026
2 (-3) Adobe stock downgraded, Moderna surges on upbeat guidance Market Domination Overtime Host Josh Lipton tracks several of the day's top trending stock tickers, including Adobe's stock (ADBE) downgrade to Market Perform from Oppenheimer analysts, Moderna (MRNA) providing an upbeat update to its guidance, and the team out of BNP Paribas downgrades both of its ratings on FedEx (FDX) and United Parcel Service (UPS). To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Market Domination Overtime. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026
3 (7) Eli Lilly CFO: Weight-loss pill could have 20% global penetration Eli Lilly (LLY) says its weight-loss pill is on track to be approved in the US, lagging behind Novo Nordisk (NVO). Eli Lilly CFO and executive vice president Lucas Montarce sits down with Market Catalysts host Julie Hyman to outline the company's expectations for its weight-loss pill and its anticipated impact on market penetration. To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Market Catalysts. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026
4 (7) Thermo Fisher wins contracts as pharma shifts production to US, CEO says By Sneha S K and Gnaneshwar Rajan Jan 13 (Reuters) - Thermo Fisher Scientific's pharmaceutical services business has won a ​number of contracts to help its customers move production ‌from Europe or Asia to the U., the medical equipment maker's CEO, ‌Marc Casper, said on Tuesday. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026
5 (8) Eli Lilly teams up with Nvidia on AI lab: CFO explains why Eli Lilly (LLY) is teaming up with Nvidia (NVDA) to invest in an artificial intelligence (AI) innovation lab. Eli Lilly CFO and executive vice president Lucas Montarce joins Market Catalysts host Julie Hyman to discuss how the pharmaceutical company is leveraging AI to expedite drug discovery. To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Market Catalysts. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026
 
6 (7) AstraZeneca to acquire Modella AI to speed oncology drug research AstraZeneca has agreed to buy Boston-based Modella AI, the companies said on Tuesday, as the drug industry ​increases its use of artificial intelligence to accelerate the discovery of ‌new drugs. The companies did not disclose financial terms. In a press release, Modella AI said its "foundation ‌models" and AI agents would be integrated into oncology research and development to support clinical development and biomarker discovery. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026
7 (7) 10 high-paying jobs where job seekers can 'get hired and thrive' Several healthcare jobs were among the top on Indeed's new list of the best jobs, which is based on postings and wage growth, and other factors. (https://www.businessinsider.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026
8 (8) The top 10 jobs in the U.S. for 2026 all pay $100,000 or more, according to Indeed Health-care jobs make up the majority of Indeed's latest report on the best jobs of 2026. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026
9 (0) Eli Lilly vs Novo Nordisk: Which Company Will Dominate the Weight Loss Drug Market in 2026? Both companies now aim to win in the oral weight loss drug market. (https://www.fool.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026
10 (8) Cardinal Health Stock Jumps on Guidance Raise. Why 2026 Will Be a Good Year. The healthcare services company says it expects to bring in over $50 billion in specialty revenue in fiscal 2026. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026
 
11 (7) Revvity Stock Jumps on Profit Outlook Hike. Why the Shares Are at a Crossroads. Revvity stock jumped 5% ahead of the open Tuesday after the health-sciences company hiked its full-year outlook ahead of earnings early next month. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026
12 (-2) Can Novo Nordisk Unseat Eli Lilly as the Weight Loss Drug Leader in 2026? The gap may be too hard to close in the next 12 months. (https://www.fool.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026
13 () Novo Nordisk CEO explains why new GLP-1 pill expands access to the weight loss drugs Novo Nordisk CEO Mike Doustdar told Jim Cramer about developments in obesity treatment. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026
14 (8) Merck says new growth opportunities to drive revenue of $70 billion by mid-2030s Jan 12 () - Merck said on Monday it ​has raised its ‌outlook for new growth drivers, ‌forecasting $70 billion in revenue from these fresh businesses by the mid-2030s, ⁠as ‌it accelerates the launch of additional drugs ‍ahead of looming competition to its blockbuster cancer ​therapy Keytruda. The drugmaker now ‌expects cardiometabolic and respiratory treatments to generate about $20 billion in sales, up from a previous ⁠forecast of $15 ​billion, while infectious ​disease drugs are projected to co (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Tue. Jan 13, 2026
15 (8) West To Sell SmartDose 3.5mL On-Body Delivery System To AbbVie For $112.5 Mln West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. (WST) on Monday said it has agreed to sell all manufacturing and supply rights for its SmartDose 3.5mL On-Body Delivery System, along with related facilities, to AbbVie (ABBV) for $112. (https://www.rttnews.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026
 
16 (7) Boston Scientific To Acquire Valencia Technologies Boston Scientific Corp. (BSX), a medical devices manufacturer, Monday announced that it has agreed to acquire Valencia Technologies Corporation, a privately held medical technology company. (https://www.rttnews.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026
17 (6) Outset Medical Jumps As FY2025 Revenue Rebounds After Prior-Year Decline Outset Medical, Inc. (OM) has announced unaudited revenue for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.. (https://www.rttnews.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026
18 (7) Masimo Posts Preliminary Q4, FY25 Results Masimo Corporation (MASI) on Monday shared preliminary figures for the fourth quarter and full year ending January 3, 2026, showing solid growth in its hospital monitoring segment. (https://www.rttnews.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026
19 (7) Expect a Busy Year in Obesity Drugs as New Pills Hit the Market Pill versions of the successful GLP1 drugs from Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly will likely be on the market in 2026’s first half. (https://www.barrons.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026
20 (7) Expect a Busy Year in Obesity Drugs as New Pills Hit the Market Pill versions of the successful GLP1 drugs from Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly will likely be on the market in 2026’s first half. (https://www.barrons.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026
 
21 (7) Bayer Sees Pharma Growth as Unit Chief Touts ‘Comeback Story’ Bayer AG’s pharmaceuticals unit is on track for a return to growth as new drugs for cancer and kidney disease offset sales lost to patent expirations. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026
22 (8) OpenAI acquires health-care technology startup Torch for $60 million, source says Torch CEO Ilya Abyzov previously co-founded Forward, a direct-to-consumer primary care business that did patient visits with tech-enabled "CarePods." (https://www.cnbc.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026
23 (8) Medtronic has 'significant firepower' for multiple acquisitions, executives say Jan 12 () - Medtronic has "significant firepower" to pursue acquisitions as the medical device maker evaluates opportunities to expand its portfolio, executives said at ​a major industry conference that kicked off on Monday in San Francisco. The ‌medical device maker has been eyeing tuck-in deals as it seeks to diversify its portfolio, particularly ‌in cardiology and neuroscience, with CEO Geoff Martha in November saying that they would prefer companies in "early stage or close to market. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026
24 (-4) Baxter International Inc. stock underperforms Monday when compared to competitors Shares of Baxter International Inc. BAX slid 4.37% to $20.15 Monday, on what proved to be an all-around favorable trading session for the stock market, with the S&P 500 Index SPX rising 0.16% to 6,977.27 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA rising 0.17% to 49,590.20. The stock's fall snapped a two-day winning streak. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026
25 (8) Why This Medical Device Company Is the Top Stock in the S&P 500 Today DexCom reports better-than-expected preliminary results for the fourth quarter. (https://www.barrons.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026
 
26 (8) Nvidia to Invest $1 Billion in AI Drug Laboratory With Eli Lilly Nvidia Corp. plans to invest $1 billion over five years in a new laboratory with Eli Lilly & Co., aiming to speed up the use of artificial intelligence in the pharmaceutical industry. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026
27 (8) Analysts Say Medline Has The Secret Sauce For Sustained Growth Medline received favorable coverage from several analysts. It recently raised $7 billion in an IPO and has a strong product portfolio. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026
28 (8) Why Tempus AI Stock Is Trading Higher On Monday? Tempus AI partners with NYU Langone Health and Northwestern Medicine to broaden access to genomic testing, enhancing precision oncology and individualized patient care. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026
29 (5) Novartis eyes more bolt-on acquisitions, CEO says Jan 12 () - Novartis will continue to do bolt-on deals and its capital allocation priorities remain unchanged, CEO Vasant ​Narasimhan said at a major industry conference that kicked ‌off on Monday in San Francisco. "We are always looking for opportunities that fit ‌our core therapeutic areas," Narasimhan said at the J. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026
30 (8) Novo CEO Sees Obesity Pill Opening Doors to a New Market in US Novo Nordisk A/S’s obesity pill will allow it to tap into a massive population of patients that have not yet taken GLP-1s, the drugmaker’s chief executive officer said. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026
 
31 (8) Nvidia to Invest $1 Billion in AI Drug Laboratory With Eli Lilly Nvidia Corp. plans to invest $1 billion over five years in a new laboratory with Eli Lilly & Co., aiming to speed up the use of artificial intelligence in the pharmaceutical industry. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026
32 (7) Teva Taps Royalty Pharma For $500M To Advance Skin Disease Drug Teva and Royalty Pharma have signed a deal worth up to $500 million to advance TEV-408, a drug being tested for vitiligo and celiac disease, with new trial results expected in 2026. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026
33 (8) Johnson & Johnson Therapy Delivers Strong Results In Colorectal Cancer Trial J&J shares positive long-term results of Rybrevant study for RAS/BRAF wild-type metastatic colorectal cancer at ASCO conference. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026
34 (-7) Senate Report Raises Questions Over UnitedHealth's Use Of Medicare Diagnoses UnitedHealth Group's aggressive Medicare Advantage strategies under investigation by Senate Judiciary Committee. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026
35 (8) Moderna Stock Rises. Revenue in 2025 Will Be Higher Than Midpoint of Guidance. Moderna also reiterates its expectations for revenue growth of up to 10% in 2026. (https://www.barrons.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026
 
36 (9) Nvidia Billionaire Coxe Gifts $100 Million to UT Medical Center Billionaire Nvidia Corp. board member Tench Coxe and his wife Simone are donating $100 million to help launch a medical center at the University of Texas at Austin, one of the largest gifts in school history. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026
37 (-6) Senate report says UnitedHealth used aggressive tactics to boost medicare payments, WSJ reports Jan 12 (Reuters) - Health insurer UnitedHealth Group used aggressive tactics to gather diagnoses that can boost Medicare Advantage payments, the Wall Street Journal reported on Monday, citing a U.S. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026
38 (6) After 7 years at McKinsey, I left to build an AI healthtech startup. I had to unlearn the pursuit of perfection. Julius Bruch spent seven years at McKinsey before founding an AI dementia startup. He shares what made the leap hard — and why consulting helped. (https://www.businessinsider.com/) Mon. Jan 12, 2026


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