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Retail Sector (XRT) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Sun. Dec 7, 2025

Recent articles indicate a mixed performance in retail, particularly during the crucial holiday shopping season. Companies like Costco are expected to perform strong, with positive earnings forecasts creating a favorable outlook. In contrast, inflationary pressures are negatively impacting retailers such as Macy's, leading to concerns over consumer spending. Overall, while there are strong sales reports and strategic positioning noted, external economic factors pose challenges.

The price action of Retail (XRT) sector is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 1.7 is very bullish. The market sentiment at 0.1 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.XRT is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for Retail sector is at 0.4, and the negative at -0.3 on 2025-12-07. The forces of Sector Price Trend (1.7), Broad Market Trend (0.5), Option Sentiment (0), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of Market Risk Appetite (-0.3), Valuation Sentiment (-0.5), and Sentiment towards Fundamentals (-1) will drive down the price.

The sentiment for Broad Market Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on XRT trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Prefrence is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.


XRT
DateAttentionPricePrice
Level
ChangeSMA10
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2025-12-070%(0%)    1.7    0.12%   0.1          -1    -0.5   
2025-12-060%(0%)    1.7    0.12%   0.1          -1    -0.5   
2025-12-050%(0%)      86.21 92    1.19%    1.09%    1.7    0.12%    0.8%    0.2    Long    60%    -1    -0.5   
2025-12-040%(0%)      85.2 88    -0.32%    0.85%    1.3    0.33%    0.6%    0.4    Long    65%    -1    -0.5   
2025-12-030%(0%)      85.47 96    1.41%    0.74%    0.9    0.23%    0.7%    0.3    Wait    50%    -1    -0.5   
2025-12-020%(0%)      84.28 90    -0.41%    0.74%    1.8    0.45%    0.2%    0.4    Long    60%    -1    -0.5   
2025-12-010%(0.1%)      84.63 98    0.33%    0.5%    1.3    0.33%    0.1%    0.1    Long    65%    -1    -0.5