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| Recent trends indicate a mixed outlook for the retail sector, with strong performance during the holiday season highlighted by positive earnings reports and sales strategies. Companies like Macy's are under scrutiny due to inflationary pressures, impacting their overall performance. However, some negative news surrounding store closures suggests challenges ahead for certain retailers. Overall, the sector is navigating a complex landscape of expectations and realities as it heads into a crucial sales period. The price action of Retail (XRT) sector is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.9 is bullish. The market sentiment at 0.3 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.XRT is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for Retail sector is at 0.6, and the negative at -0.3 on 2025-12-09. The forces of Option Sentiment (1.5), Market Risk Appetite (1.1), Sector Price Trend (0.9), and Broad Market Trend (0.1) will drive up the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (-0.5), Valuation Sentiment (-0.5), and Sentiment towards Fundamentals (-1) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Broad Market Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on XRT trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Prefrence is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| XRT | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | 0%(0%) | 86.72 | 87 | 0.94% | 0.83% | 0.9 | 0% | 0.3% | 0.3 | Wait | 50% | -1 | -6.5 |
| 2025-12-08 | 0%(0%) | 85.91 | 85 | -0.35% | 0.72% | 0.7 | 0.12% | 0.7% | 0.3 | Long | 65% | -1 | -0.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | 0%(0%) | 1.7 | 0.12% | 0.1 | -1 | -0.5 | |||||||
| 2025-12-06 | 0%(0%) | 1.7 | 0.12% | 0.1 | -1 | -0.5 | |||||||
| 2025-12-05 | 0%(0%) | 86.21 | 92 | 1.19% | 1.09% | 1.7 | 0.12% | 0.8% | 0.2 | Long | 60% | -1 | -0.5 |
| 2025-12-04 | 0%(0%) | 85.2 | 88 | -0.32% | 0.85% | 1.3 | 0.33% | 0.6% | 0.4 | Long | 65% | -1 | -0.5 |
| 2025-12-03 | 0%(0%) | 85.47 | 96 | 1.41% | 0.74% | 0.9 | 0.23% | 0.7% | 0.3 | Wait | 50% | -1 | -0.5 |
| 2025-12-02 | 0%(0%) | 84.28 | 90 | -0.41% | 0.74% | 1.8 | 0.45% | 0.2% | 0.4 | Long | 60% | -1 | -0.5 |
| 2025-12-01 | 0%(0.1%) | 84.63 | 98 | 0.33% | 0.5% | 1.3 | 0.33% | 0.1% | 0.1 | Long | 65% | -1 | -0.5 |